SMCI Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Super Micro Computer Inc - Alpha Spread

Super Micro Computer Inc
NASDAQ:SMCI

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Super Micro Computer Inc
NASDAQ:SMCI
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Price: 47.8 USD 2.86% Market Closed
Market Cap: 28B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one SMCI stock under the Base Case scenario is 49.83 USD. Compared to the current market price of 47.8 USD, Super Micro Computer Inc is Undervalued by 4%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

SMCI Intrinsic Value
49.83 USD
Undervaluation 4%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

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Super Micro Computer Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Super Micro Computer Inc. is a formidable player in the global technology landscape, specializing in high-performance, high-efficiency server solutions and innovative computing technologies. Established in 1993, the company has cultivated a robust reputation for delivering cutting-edge products that cater to the rapidly evolving demands of data centers, cloud computing, and enterprise IT. With a diversified portfolio that includes servers, storage solutions, and networking products, Super Micro is uniquely positioned to capitalize on the exponential growth of big data and artificial intelligence. Backed by a commitment to sustainability, the company’s Green Computing initiative underlines it...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Super Micro Computer Inc

Current Assets 9.1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1.7B
Receivables 2.7B
Other Current Assets 4.7B
Non-Current Assets 888.6m
PP&E 414m
Other Non-Current Assets 474.6m
Current Liabilities 2.4B
Accounts Payable 1.5B
Accrued Liabilities 237.9m
Other Current Liabilities 621m
Non-Current Liabilities 2.1B
Long-Term Debt 1.8B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 298m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Super Micro Computer Inc

Revenue
14.9B USD
Cost of Revenue
-12.8B USD
Gross Profit
2.1B USD
Operating Expenses
-846m USD
Operating Income
1.3B USD
Other Expenses
-57.5m USD
Net Income
1.2B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Super Micro Computer Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Super Micro Computer Inc. reported a record Q4 revenue of $5.31 billion, up 143% year-over-year, driven by growth in AI and liquid cooling technologies. The fiscal year 2024 revenue was $14.94 billion, a 110% increase. Key drivers include significant advancements in Direct Liquid Cooling (DLC) technology, expected to cover 25-30% of new data center deployments globally. The company forecasts fiscal 2025 revenue between $26 billion to $30 billion, with Q1 2025 guidance set at $6 to $7 billion in net sales. Despite short-term margin pressures, long-term profitability is expected to improve with the Malaysia facility ramping up production later this year.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

SMCI Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Super Micro Computer Inc's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
Exceptional 1-Year Revenue Growth
69/100
Profitability
Score

Super Micro Computer Inc's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

SMCI Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Super Micro Computer Inc's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
Short-Term Solvency
Low D/E
High Altman Z-Score
81/100
Solvency
Score

Super Micro Computer Inc's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

SMCI Price Targets Summary
Super Micro Computer Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast SMCI stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SMCI is 820.01 USD with a low forecast of 328.25 USD and a high forecast of 1 575 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
328.25 USD
587% Upside
Average
Price Target
820.01 USD
1 615% Upside
Highest
Price Target
1 575 USD
3 195% Upside
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Dividends

Super Micro Computer Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for SMCI is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Ownership

SMCI Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
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Profile

Super Micro Computer Inc Logo
Super Micro Computer Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Technology

Market Cap

28B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Super Micro Computer, Inc. manufactures servers and other computer products. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California and currently employs 4,155 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2007-03-29. The Company’s solutions include complete servers, storage systems, modular blade servers, blades, workstations, complete rack scale plug and play solutions delivering pre-defined and pre-tested full rack solutions, networking devices, system management software, and server sub-systems. The company also provides global support and services to help its customers install, upgrade and maintain their computing infrastructure. The firm offer provides array of server models and configurations from which customers chooses solutions according to their computing needs. Its products include SuperBlade, MicroBlade, SuperStorage, Twin, Ultra Server, GPU or Accelerated, Data Center Optimized, Embedded and MicroCloud.

Contact

CALIFORNIA
San Jose
980 Rock Ave
+14085038000.0
www.supermicro.com

IPO

2007-03-29

Employees

4 155

Officers

See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one SMCI stock?

The intrinsic value of one SMCI stock under the Base Case scenario is 49.83 USD.

Is SMCI stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 47.8 USD, Super Micro Computer Inc is Undervalued by 4%.

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