Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
NASDAQ:TTWO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TTWO stock under the Base Case scenario is 139.37 USD. Compared to the current market price of 177.9 USD, Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is Overvalued by 22%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. has established itself as a powerhouse in the gaming industry, renowned for its portfolio of critically acclaimed franchises such as Grand Theft Auto, NBA 2K, and Red Dead Redemption. Founded in 1993 and headquartered in New York City, the company has integrated cutting-edge technology and innovative storytelling to create immersive gaming experiences that resonate with millions. By investing in high-quality development teams and acquiring successful studios, Take-Two has positioned itself strategically in the competitive landscape, consistently delivering engaging content across various platforms. With the industry's shift towards digital distribution and...
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. has established itself as a powerhouse in the gaming industry, renowned for its portfolio of critically acclaimed franchises such as Grand Theft Auto, NBA 2K, and Red Dead Redemption. Founded in 1993 and headquartered in New York City, the company has integrated cutting-edge technology and innovative storytelling to create immersive gaming experiences that resonate with millions. By investing in high-quality development teams and acquiring successful studios, Take-Two has positioned itself strategically in the competitive landscape, consistently delivering engaging content across various platforms. With the industry's shift towards digital distribution and recurrent consumer spending models, Take-Two has adeptly capitalized on these trends, significantly driving revenue growth through its popular online services and in-game purchases.
As an investor, understanding Take-Two's commitment to growth through diversification and expansion is crucial. The company operates through two main labels: Rockstar Games and 2K, each managing a rich portfolio of beloved titles. Take-Two's proactive approach to mergers and acquisitions—most notably with the purchase of Zynga—enhances its offerings in the mobile gaming segment, unlocking new revenue streams. With a keen focus on sustaining long-term value and adapting to changing market dynamics, Take-Two Interactive not only aims to captivate gamers worldwide but also to represent a compelling investment opportunity that aligns with the evolving landscape of entertainment. As the gaming industry continues to flourish, Take-Two stands poised to leverage its industry expertise and brand loyalty, making it a significant player to watch for any discerning investor.
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. is a leading video game publisher known for its strong portfolio of well-established franchises. The company operates primarily through two core business segments:
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Game Publishing:
- This segment includes the development, marketing, and distribution of video games across various platforms, including consoles, PC, and mobile devices. Take-Two's publishing operations are divided into two primary labels:
- Rockstar Games: This label is known for its high-profile titles, including the Grand Theft Auto series and Red Dead Redemption. These games often feature open-world environments and rich storytelling.
- 2K: This label encompasses a range of sports games (like NBA 2K and WWE 2K), as well as other genres, including role-playing games and strategy games.
- This segment includes the development, marketing, and distribution of video games across various platforms, including consoles, PC, and mobile devices. Take-Two's publishing operations are divided into two primary labels:
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Social and Mobile Games:
- This segment focuses on the development and publishing of mobile games and social casino games. Take-Two, through its acquisition of Zynga, has expanded its presence in the mobile gaming sector, which includes popular franchises like Zynga Poker and Words With Friends. This segment capitalizes on the growing trend of social gaming and in-game monetization.
These segments allow Take-Two to maintain a diversified revenue stream, leveraging both traditional console and PC gaming and the rapidly growing mobile gaming market. The company's strategic focus on high-quality storytelling and gameplay has helped it build a loyal customer base and achieve strong financial performance.
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the video game industry:
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Strong Portfolio of Franchises: Take-Two owns several highly successful and critically acclaimed franchises, such as Grand Theft Auto (GTA), NBA 2K, and Red Dead Redemption. These franchises have large, dedicated fanbases and generate substantial recurring revenues through both game sales and ongoing content updates.
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Quality and Innovation: The company's focus on high-quality game development and innovative gameplay contributes to strong player engagement and loyalty. Take-Two emphasizes storytelling, character development, and immersive worlds, which enhances players’ experiences and increases brand loyalty.
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Diversified Business Model: Take-Two operates in various segments, including console and PC games, mobile games, and digital distribution. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with the cyclical nature of game releases and allows the company to tap into multiple revenue streams.
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Strong Distribution and Marketing: Take-Two has established robust relationships with distributors and retailers, both online and offline. Their successful marketing campaigns, especially for flagship titles, help create significant buzz and anticipation ahead of game launches.
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Focus on Live Services and Microtransactions: The company has increasingly embraced live services and microtransactions, particularly within franchises like NBA 2K and GTA Online. This approach not only increases monetization opportunities but also keeps players engaged in long-term gameplay.
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Acquisition Strategy: Take-Two has a history of strategic acquisitions, such as the purchase of Zynga, to diversify its portfolio and expand into mobile gaming. This strategy allows them to leverage existing intellectual properties and expand them into new markets.
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Strong Financial Position: With a solid balance sheet and consistent revenue growth, Take-Two has the financial flexibility to invest in development, marketing, and strategic acquisitions, enabling long-term growth.
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Creative Talent: Take-Two attracts and retains top talent in the gaming industry. Their studios, like Rockstar Games and 2K, are known for fostering creativity and innovation, yielding high-quality games that are well-received by players and critics alike.
These competitive advantages help Take-Two Interactive maintain its position as a key player in the highly competitive video game industry, differentiating it from competitors and enhancing its long-term growth prospects.
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. faces several risks and challenges in the near future, influenced by both industry trends and company-specific factors. Here are some of the key challenges:
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Increased Competition: The gaming industry is highly competitive, with established players like Electronic Arts, Activision Blizzard, and new entrants in the mobile and indie gaming sectors. This competition can affect market share and pricing strategies.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: The preferences of gamers can shift rapidly. The rise of mobile gaming, free-to-play models, and subscription services may require Take-Two to adapt its business strategy to meet evolving consumer expectations.
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Technological Advancements: The gaming industry is significantly impacted by advancements in technology, such as virtual reality (VR), augmented reality (AR), and cloud gaming. Failure to innovate and adapt to these technologies could hinder growth.
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Regulatory Challenges: The gaming industry faces increasing scrutiny regarding issues such as loot boxes, in-game purchases, and data privacy. Regulations in various markets can impact revenue models and operational strategies.
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Development Costs and Timelines: The rising costs and extended timelines associated with game development could squeeze margins. Any delays in game releases could lead to missed revenue opportunities, especially if competitors launch products successfully.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns or changes in consumer spending habits can impact sales. Games are often seen as discretionary spending; during tough economic times, consumers may cut back on entertainment expenses.
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Intellectual Property Risks: Take-Two’s success is partly reliant on its franchises and intellectual properties. Legal disputes or issues related to IP rights could hinder the company's ability to capitalize on its franchises.
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Dependence on Key Franchises: A significant portion of Take-Two’s revenue comes from a few key franchises (e.g., Grand Theft Auto, NBA 2K). Over-reliance on a limited number of titles makes the company vulnerable if those franchises underperform or fail to meet expectations.
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Global Expansion Risks: As Take-Two seeks to expand into emerging markets, it may face challenges related to localization, cultural differences, and regional regulatory environments, which can complicate market penetration.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As the gaming industry increasingly relies on online platforms, the risk of data breaches or cyberattacks grows. Such incidents could lead to reputational damage and financial losses.
Successful navigation of these risks will require strategic foresight, robust risk management practices, and a willingness to adapt to an evolving landscape. Continuous monitoring of industry trends, consumer behavior, and technological advancements will be critical for Take-Two Interactive's sustained growth and competitiveness.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
Current Assets | 2.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 879.6m |
Receivables | 938.3m |
Other Current Assets | 887.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 10.4B |
PP&E | 770.1m |
Intangibles | 9.3B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 323.1m |
Current Liabilities | 3.2B |
Accounts Payable | 177.1m |
Accrued Liabilities | 631.5m |
Other Current Liabilities | 2.4B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1B |
Earnings Waterfall
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
Revenue
|
5.5B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-2.3B
USD
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Gross Profit
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3.1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-3.6B
USD
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Operating Income
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-489.8m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-3.1B
USD
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Net Income
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-3.6B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
TTWO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc's profitability score is 35/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc's profitability score is 35/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TTWO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TTWO Price Targets Summary
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TTWO is 184.58 USD with a low forecast of 143.74 USD and a high forecast of 220.5 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TTWO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
TTWO Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. engages in the development, publishing, and marketing of interactive software games. The company is headquartered in New York City, New York and currently employs 6,495 full-time employees. The firm develops and publishes products through its labels, Rockstar Games, 2K, Private Division, Social Point, and Playdots. Its products are designed for console gaming systems, including Sony's PlayStation 4 and PlayStation 5; Microsoft's Xbox One and Xbox Series XS; and Nintendo's Switch, as well as personal computers, including smartphones and tablets. The firm delivers its products through physical retail, digital download, online platforms, and cloud streaming services. The firm is focused on publishing a select number of titles based on internally owned and developed intellectual properties. In addition, it selectively develops titles based on licensed properties, including sports leagues, and also publishes externally developed titles.
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one TTWO stock under the Base Case scenario is 139.37 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 177.9 USD, Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is Overvalued by 22%.