NTPC Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - NTPC Ltd - Alpha Spread

NTPC Ltd
NSE:NTPC

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NTPC Ltd
NSE:NTPC
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Price: 389.85 INR -1.25% Market Closed
Market Cap: 3.8T INR
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one NTPC stock under the Base Case scenario is 379.15 INR. Compared to the current market price of 389.85 INR, NTPC Ltd is Overvalued by 3%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

NTPC Intrinsic Value
379.15 INR
Overvaluation 3%
Intrinsic Value
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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

NTPC Ltd., India's largest power utility, has become a cornerstone of the nation’s energy landscape since its inception in 1975. With a vision to provide reliable and affordable electricity to millions, the company has established a diverse portfolio that includes coal, gas, hydro, and renewable energy sources. NTPC operates a total installed capacity of over 67,000 MW, making it a key player in achieving India's ambitious goals for energy security and sustainability. Its strategic emphasis on renewable energy and commitment to reducing carbon emissions reflect a forward-thinking approach that aligns perfectly with the global shift towards cleaner energy solutions. By continuously enhancing...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
NTPC Ltd

Current Assets 830.4B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 201.1B
Receivables 336.7B
Other Current Assets 292.6B
Non-Current Assets 4T
Long-Term Investments 165.5B
PP&E 3.5T
Intangibles 5.8B
Other Non-Current Assets 340.2B
Current Liabilities 984B
Accounts Payable 113.4B
Short-Term Debt 201.1B
Other Current Liabilities 669.6B
Non-Current Liabilities 2.2T
Long-Term Debt 1.9T
Other Non-Current Liabilities 290.3B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
NTPC Ltd

Revenue
1.8T INR
Cost of Revenue
-1.1T INR
Gross Profit
764B INR
Operating Expenses
-407.3B INR
Operating Income
356.7B INR
Other Expenses
-142.5B INR
Net Income
214.1B INR

Free Cash Flow Analysis
NTPC Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

NTPC reported a 5% increase in profit after tax for FY '24, totaling INR 18,079 crores, and a group profit increase of 25%, reaching INR 21,332 crores. Operational highlights include a 6% rise in generation to 422 billion units and a 48% boost in captive coal production. NTPC's renewable energy projects are progressing, with a significant increase in renewable capacity planned. The company is also advancing in green hydrogen and biomass co-firing projects. Guided capital expenditure for FY '25 is INR 22,700 crores, with a target of 6,780 megawatts new capacity. A final dividend of INR 3.25 per share has been recommended.

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Fundamental Scores

NTPC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

NTPC Ltd's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Operating Income
57/100
Profitability
Score

NTPC Ltd's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

NTPC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

NTPC Ltd's solvency score is 30/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Long-Term Solvency
Average D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Low Altman Z-Score
30/100
Solvency
Score

NTPC Ltd's solvency score is 30/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

NTPC Price Targets Summary
NTPC Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast NTPC stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NTPC is 438.02 INR with a low forecast of 273.71 INR and a high forecast of 525 INR.

Lowest
Price Target
273.71 INR
30% Downside
Average
Price Target
438.02 INR
12% Upside
Highest
Price Target
525 INR
35% Upside
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for NTPC is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
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NTPC Price
NTPC Ltd

1M 1M
-5%
6M 6M
+12%
1Y 1Y
+60%
3Y 3Y
+266%
5Y 5Y
+276%
10Y 10Y
+372%
Annual Price Range
389.85
52w Low
230.3753
52w High
420.1338
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 14.41%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 26.65%
Max Drawdown -40%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 3.8T INR
Shares Outstanding 9 699 261 006
Percentage of Shares Shorted
N/A

Competitive Landscape

Profile

NTPC Ltd Logo
NTPC Ltd

Country

India

Industry

Utilities

Market Cap

3.8T INR

Dividend Yield

2.24%

Description

NTPC Ltd. engages in the electric power generation by coal based thermal power plant. The company is headquartered in New Delhi, Delhi. The company went IPO on 2004-11-05. The principal business activity of the Company is electric power generation by a coal-based thermal power plant. The firm's business segments include Generation and Others. The firm's Other business includes providing consultancy, project management and supervision, re-gasification, oil and gas exploration and coal mining. The firm's subsidiaries include NTPC Electric Supply Company Ltd., NTPC Vidyut Vyapar Nigam Ltd., Kanti Bijlee Utpadan Nigam Ltd., Nabinagar Power Generating Company Ltd., Bhartiya Rail Bijlee Company Ltd., Patratu Vidyut Utpadan Nigam Ltd., North Eastern Electric Power Corporation Ltd., THDC India Limited, NTPC Mining Ltd., NTPC EDMC Waste Solutions Private Ltd., NTPC Renewable Energy Ltd. and Ratnagiri Gas and Power Private Ltd.

Contact

DELHI
New Delhi
NTPC Bhawan, SCOPE Complex, Institutional Area, Lodhi Road
+911124360100
www.ntpc.co.in

IPO

2004-11-05

Employees

18 509

Officers

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one NTPC stock?

The intrinsic value of one NTPC stock under the Base Case scenario is 379.15 INR.

Is NTPC stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 389.85 INR, NTPC Ltd is Overvalued by 3%.

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