Senco Gold Ltd
NSE:SENCO

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Senco Gold Ltd
NSE:SENCO
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Price: 308.15 INR -0.21% Market Closed
Market Cap: 50.5B INR

Q4-2025 Earnings Call

AI Summary
Earnings Call on May 30, 2025

Strong Revenue Growth: Senco Gold reported a 21% year-on-year increase in Q4 revenue, with full year consolidated revenue at INR 6,328 crores.

Margin Expansion: Q4 EBITDA margin rose to 9.2%, up from 7.7% last year, and adjusted PAT reached INR 207 crores for the year.

Diamond Sales Surge: Diamond jewelry sales grew 38% in value and 21% in volume in Q4; management highlighted a renewed focus on this segment.

Gold Volumes Decline: Gold jewelry volume fell by 6% in Q4 and 3-4% for the year, as high gold prices shifted consumer demand to lighter and lower purity jewelry.

Store Expansion: 16 new stores opened in FY '25, with a continued focus on franchisee-led growth, especially in non-East regions and Tier 2/3/4 towns.

Inventory & Working Capital: Inventory rose due to gold price increases and store expansion, but balance sheet and debt remain under control; hedging covers 60-80% of inventory.

FY '26 Guidance: Management targets 18-20% top line growth, 6.8-7.2% EBITDA margin, and 3.5-3.7% PAT margin, with continued investment in diamond sales and franchise expansion.

Revenue & Growth Outlook

Senco Gold delivered strong top-line growth, with Q4 revenue up 21% year-on-year and full year consolidated revenue at INR 6,328 crores. Management guided for 18-20% top-line growth in FY '26, supported by store expansion and rising demand, especially in diamond jewelry.

Margins & Profitability

EBITDA margin improved significantly, reaching 9.2% in Q4 versus 7.7% last year, helped by a higher diamond stud ratio and operating efficiency. Adjusted PAT for the year was INR 207 crores, and management reiterated a future EBITDA margin target of 6.8-7.2% and PAT margin of 3.5-3.7%.

Diamond Jewelry Performance

Diamond jewelry saw robust growth, with Q4 value up 38% and volume up 21%. For the full year, diamond value grew 15% while volume was up 2%. The company is focusing on increasing its stud ratio and expects continued momentum as consumers shift towards diamond pieces due to high gold prices.

Gold Jewelry Trends

Despite a 20% value growth in gold jewelry, volumes declined by 6% in Q4 and by 3-4% for the year, reflecting the adverse impact of higher gold prices. Consumers shifted towards lighter weight and lower purity jewelry to stay within budgets, with a notable increase in old gold exchanges now comprising 39-40% of sales.

Store Network Expansion

The company opened 16 new stores in FY '25, including both franchise and company-owned formats, with a strategic focus on expanding in non-East regions and smaller towns. The plan for FY '26 is to add 18-20 more stores, prioritizing the franchise model for capital efficiency.

Inventory & Working Capital Management

Inventory rose by INR 819 crores, mainly due to higher gold prices and new store openings. Hedging covers 60-80% of gold inventory. Management emphasized efficient inventory management and expects stable operating cash flows, with a comfortable debt-to-equity ratio and no immediate need for equity funding.

Customer & Footfall Trends

Footfalls increased 17% and new customer acquisitions surpassed 253,000 for the year. However, invoice growth was 5-6%, reflecting inflationary pressures on average ticket size and changing consumer preferences. The company is also seeing growth in silver and fashion jewelry.

Diamond Pricing & Market Dynamics

Management noted a recent 4-5% increase in solitaire diamond prices and expects further growth as consumer demand recovers. The company sees a positive outlook for both natural and lab-grown diamonds, with lighter, lower carat pieces gaining popularity in response to high gold prices.

Revenue
INR 6,328 crores
Change: Up 21% YoY in Q4; up 19.7% for the full year.
Guidance: 18% to 20% growth targeted for FY '26.
Adjusted PAT
INR 207 crores (standalone); INR 201 crores (consolidated)
Guidance: 3.5% to 3.7% PAT margin targeted.
EBITDA
INR 427 crores (adjusted, standalone)
Change: Up from INR 381 crores; up 12.2%.
Guidance: 6.8% to 7.2% margin targeted.
EBITDA Margin
9.2% (Q4); 7% to 7.5% guidance
Change: Up from 7.7% in prior year Q4.
Guidance: 6.8% to 7.2% margin targeted.
Footfalls
up 17%
No Additional Information
New Customers
253,000
No Additional Information
Average Ticket Value (ATV)
INR 73,000
Change: Up from INR 63,700.
Gold Jewelry Volume Growth (Q4)
-6%
Change: Negative growth.
Diamond Jewelry Volume Growth (Q4)
21%
No Additional Information
Diamond Jewelry Value Growth (Q4)
38%
No Additional Information
Gold Jewelry Value Growth (FY)
20%
No Additional Information
Gold Jewelry Volume Growth (FY)
-3% to -4%
Change: Negative growth.
Diamond Jewelry Value Growth (FY)
15%
No Additional Information
Diamond Jewelry Volume Growth (FY)
2%
Guidance: 15% to 20% volume growth targeted next year.
Store Openings
16 net new stores in FY '25
Guidance: 18-20 new stores planned for FY '26 (at least 10 franchisees).
Stud Ratio
10.9%
Change: Up from 10.5% at 9 months.
Guidance: 15% target in 3-4 years.
Old Gold Exchange
39-40% of sales
Change: Up from 25% 2-3 years ago.
Inventory Days
166 days
Change: Up from 151 days.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.9x
Change: Down from 1.1x last year.
Guidance: 1.0-1.2x considered comfortable.
Promoter Stake
64.33%
No Additional Information
Revenue
INR 6,328 crores
Change: Up 21% YoY in Q4; up 19.7% for the full year.
Guidance: 18% to 20% growth targeted for FY '26.
Adjusted PAT
INR 207 crores (standalone); INR 201 crores (consolidated)
Guidance: 3.5% to 3.7% PAT margin targeted.
EBITDA
INR 427 crores (adjusted, standalone)
Change: Up from INR 381 crores; up 12.2%.
Guidance: 6.8% to 7.2% margin targeted.
EBITDA Margin
9.2% (Q4); 7% to 7.5% guidance
Change: Up from 7.7% in prior year Q4.
Guidance: 6.8% to 7.2% margin targeted.
Footfalls
up 17%
No Additional Information
New Customers
253,000
No Additional Information
Average Ticket Value (ATV)
INR 73,000
Change: Up from INR 63,700.
Gold Jewelry Volume Growth (Q4)
-6%
Change: Negative growth.
Diamond Jewelry Volume Growth (Q4)
21%
No Additional Information
Diamond Jewelry Value Growth (Q4)
38%
No Additional Information
Gold Jewelry Value Growth (FY)
20%
No Additional Information
Gold Jewelry Volume Growth (FY)
-3% to -4%
Change: Negative growth.
Diamond Jewelry Value Growth (FY)
15%
No Additional Information
Diamond Jewelry Volume Growth (FY)
2%
Guidance: 15% to 20% volume growth targeted next year.
Store Openings
16 net new stores in FY '25
Guidance: 18-20 new stores planned for FY '26 (at least 10 franchisees).
Stud Ratio
10.9%
Change: Up from 10.5% at 9 months.
Guidance: 15% target in 3-4 years.
Old Gold Exchange
39-40% of sales
Change: Up from 25% 2-3 years ago.
Inventory Days
166 days
Change: Up from 151 days.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.9x
Change: Down from 1.1x last year.
Guidance: 1.0-1.2x considered comfortable.
Promoter Stake
64.33%
No Additional Information

Earnings Call Transcript

Transcript
from 0
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Senco Gold Limited Q4 and FY '25 Earnings Conference Call hosted by Antique Stock Broking Limited. [Operator Instructions]

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Madhav Agarwal from Antique Stock Broking. Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Madhav.

U
Unknown Attendee

Yes. Hi. Good morning, everyone. I would like to welcome the management and thank them for this opportunity. We have with us today Mr. Suvankar Sen, who is the MD and CEO of the company; and we also have Mr. Sanjay Banka, who is the CFO of the company.

I shall now hand over the call to the management team for the opening remarks. Over to you, sir.

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

Thank you very much, Mr. Madhav for introducing us. So good morning, ladies and gentlemen. We would like to welcome all of you for the update call for the performance of Senco Gold Limited for the financial year '24-'25 and the end of Q4. We are happy to inform you that the Q4 of FY 2025 has seen a strong growth in total sales of approximately 21% where we have seen that in the gold jewelry segment, we have grown by 20% in terms of value.

However, because of the increase in gold price, the volume got impacted with a degrowth of 6%. But that is in terms of the gold jewelry numbers. But the good part that has been extremely encouraging is the growth that we have seen in diamond jewelry where we have seen a 38% growth in terms of value for diamond jewelry and 21% volume growth in diamonds.

That has led to an increase in the stud ratio. As we ended the 9 months, we were declaring a stud ratio of 10.5%. But thanks to the effort by the team and the continuous new designs and collections that kept getting launched in the month of January and February, we could take our stud ratio to 10.9% as we ended the year. And if we look at the overall year of '24, '25, we have seen value growth in diamond jewelry of 15% with a marginal growth of 2% in terms of volume for diamonds.

And for the whole year, the gold jewelry has seen a value growth of approximately 20% with an impact of volume degrowth of 4%. So that has been the broad major category-wise sales for the whole year. We all know that the prices of gold has been on an upward trend for the whole financial year, but while there have been challenges in terms of the volumes getting impacted, we have seen that the consumers were looking for jewelry within their budget, within their wage range. The wage ranges have been under the pressure because prices went up upwards of 30%, but there has also been a shift from -- along with the 22-karat gold jewelry and a tendency of the consumers to buy more 14-carat diamond jewelry or 18-carat diamond or plain gold jewelry. So there is this gradual shift of purity getting lower to fit it within the budget of the consumers happening. And it is especially with the modern western designs that we are seeing such a shift happening.

Now coming to the profitability. The adjusted PAT for the standalone numbers has been INR 207 crores. Adjusting to a PBT impact of INR 57.4 crores due to the duty of customs duty that we have seen the impact that had happened in the month of August. So adjusting to that, we have got adjusted PAT of INR 207 crores. And if we look at the unadjusted numbers, it is INR 165 crores, but something that we are grateful to the team for their efforts and the results that has been a strong jump of INR 62 crores for quarter 4 from the INR 103 crores of PAT that we had seen in -- for the 9 months, 31st December 2024.

In terms of opening of new stores, net-net, we have seen 16 stores getting opened for the full financial year. We have opened 6 franchisee stores, 9 Senco company-owned company-operated stores and 1 Sennes store, which is the lab-grown diamond, perfumes, leather bags. So basically focusing on lab-grown diamond, 1 Sennes store. So that's been the 16 stores that we have opened in the full financial year.

Another encouraging number for us to see is that the non-East business has grown by 23% to approximately INR 1,230 crores. So that's the increase of the non-East business.

In terms of number of footfalls, while we have seen that the gold prices has been on an upward trend, people are looking for lighter weight jewelry. The wage ranges are going down. Wedding has been a segment that has driven the business in a major part of the year as well. But in terms of measuring of the customer footfalls, we have seen that with the LTL and the new stores that has happened, we have got a 17% increase in number of footfalls overall and a 5% increase in the new invoices. And the new customers that got added has been upward of 2,50,000 -- so to be more exact, it's around 253,000 new customers.

The ATV that we have seen, which was INR 63,700 in the previous financial year has gone up to around INR 73,000. So there has been around a 15% increase in ATV, but here, you can see that the increase of ATV has been 15%, but the gold price has moved up above, and that is where we are seeing the lighter weight jewelry happening. And in terms of the gold rate, we have seen that when we began the year, the gold rate was about INR 6,300 and as we ended the year, it was around INR 9,000. So that's the overall goal rate that we have seen from the beginning to the end of the year.

In terms of new designs that got added in gold jewelry, we've always been continuously trying to launch new design. So we've added more than 25,000 designs in gold jewelry and more than 4,000 to 5,000 designs in diamond jewelry.

Another very interesting aspect, the numbers that we need to look at is the old gold exchange. So because the prices were on an upward trend, people were feeling the pinch of having a little lower, I would say, budget and they would exchange their old gold and we have seen that the old gold exchanges went up to close to 39% to 40%. So that has been a substantial jump. If I recall, maybe 2 to 3 years back, the old gold exchange was only 25% of the overall sales, and that has become around close to 40% of the overall sales. And so that also has helped, I would say, the business to continue to grow and keep getting the customers coming back to the stores.

And if we look at the more initiatives that we have taken in Q4 and what has been the reason for the growth and the numbers in Q4, I would say that the wedding sales because we were in the month of January, February until mid of March. And even the early weddings of April, May, I think consumers were utilizing these months to buy their wedding jewelry for the season. And also, we had the Valentine's Day and the birthdays and anniversaries of many, many people. And I think the love season, as we call it, has led to an increase in the sales of diamonds. Even in the month of March, it was Women's Day and it gives us an opportunity to connect to our women customers, and we launched multiple collections throughout the quarter. To name a few, the Very Berry (sic) [Berry Lovely] collection, which has a designer, it's kind of jewelry with colored stones and diamonds. We've got the kind of fancy shaped solitaires, the Ice Cube Collection, we had the lightweight jewelry Facets of Love, the Ombre, the Rose and various new designs in the solitaire segment.

And I also must say that the contribution of the solitaire diamonds because what we are seeing is that the last financial year, though 90% above is small diamonds that we sell. But for the stores, 10% of the solitaire segment, we have seen a growth in the sales of solitaire, which is above $0.20 of about 26%. So the fact that the prices of solitaires has come down, but consumers thought it as an opportunity to buy. And we are also seeing an upward trend in the price of diamonds now that the war is about to be over. And I think consumers are feeling the keen interest to buy solitaires.

So as we are towards the end of May and we look at the numbers and what has happened in the last 2 months of this particular new financial year, we are seeing around an 18% to 19% growth in terms of value, so I think even though the gold prices are close to their all-time high, the faith and the trust of consumers towards the commodity gold and silver has been strong and consumers are looking for an opportunity whenever they have the ability to buy or the prices are something of within their range. They are wanting to and planning to buy the jewelry.

Along with that, the encouraging aspect is the interest on diamonds. So the diamond prices are gradually starting to rise. And even our sales for the diamond jewelry segment has -- like the way we have seen in the Q4 has continued to perform in that manner. Our aim for the whole financial year, again, to reiterate as we are having the call and we've crossed 2 months of the year, we'll continue to be having a top line growth of 18% to 20%, and we will try to endeavor to increase our bottom line as well, with the focus on improving the diamond sales.

In the last financial year, we have seen that during the first half of the year, the interest on buying diamonds was lesser. But as the year was ending, the interest went up, so our focus and endeavor to improve the diamond sales will continue to remain. And with the high gold price, we will try to bring in more efficiency in the business in terms of analyzing the data, what kind of products are selling in which stores, what price range. And in this high gold scenario, we try to optimize our stock and make -- ensure that the top-performing designs and categories are continuously supplied for higher sales.

And in terms of the endeavor towards profitability, I think we will be working towards having and achieving an EBITDA of anywhere between 6.8% to 7.2% and our endeavor to achieve a PAT of 3.5% to 3.7% shall continue to remain. And I think in this dynamic market scenario, a very, very important thing is to focus on lightweight jewelry and to ensure that our new generation customers continue to engage with us and connect with us.

And as far as the wedding segment is concerned, which will remain about 35% to 40% of the overall business, the handcrafted jewelry, that is the need of the consumers for wedding segment within their budgets will be a focus area for us as well.

And as far as the franchisees are concerned, we intend to add a minimum of 18 to 20 stores with a higher focus on having more and more franchisees. So minimum 10 franchisees we will be adding and about 8 to 10 company-owned company-operated stores with a strong focus, as always, we've been mentioning on East India and North India.

So with this, I would like to end my update for this particular Q4 of the financial year '24, '25. And at the end of it, I would like to thank all of you for your continuous support, encouragement, faith and guidance in terms of how do we ensure that in this volatile market scenario and the geopolitical uncertainties that we see in the world, we will continue to connect with our consumers and acquire more new and new customers. Thank you very much.

And I will request Mr. Banka, our CFO, to kindly say a few words.

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

So thank you very much, sir. I would like to add one more context. So we have reported the standalone and consol, both number. Our financials -- consolidated financials include the results of Senco Gold Limited, Senco Gold Article Private Limited, Senco Gold Jewelry Trading Limited, the Dubai entity and Sennes Fashion Limited. So we are commencing the new Sennes business in Sennes Fashion Limited, where the results are not -- they are just building up.

So while the standalone top line is INR 6,258 crores and the standalone adjusted PAT is INR 207 crores. In the consol financial, the revenue has increased to INR 6,328 crores, and the adjusted PAT is INR 201 crores. The INR 201 crores is the impact of the 3 subsidiary. So this is message number one.

Now if we look at the adjusted EBITDA, at the standalone number, the adjusted EBITDA has improved from INR 381 crores to INR 427 crores. So a 19.7% top line growth, a 12.2% growth in adjusted EBITDA. Similarly improved -- the EBIT has remained range bound from INR 365 crores to INR 359 crores. Finance cost has marginally increased as the borrowings have increased and we'll discuss in detail. And the adjusted EBITDA (sic) [adjusted PAT] has improved significantly from INR 188 crores to INR 207 crores. So 10.1% growth in adjusted EBITDA, which is 3.3% adjusted PAT margin, and we have given the outlook for the future EBITDA margin, which our MD has said between 6.8% to 7.5%, which is in line with our early projections and an adjusted PAT of 3.5%.

So during the year, we have given you update of 16 stores. Our non-East revenue is INR 1,150 crores, which is around 18% of the total revenue. Stud ratio has given range bound, and it has grown very significantly in quarter 4, and we are hopeful and confident that with the growing interest, the stud ratio, which we have been looking for a 15% range in 3 to 4 years, we'll achieve that.

The rate of interest is a very important factor. So you are aware that the Gold Metal Loan, there was some scarcity in February and March. So the Gold Metal Loan rate had increased from around 3.6% to 6.6%, and the blended rate has increased from 5.9% to around 7% in Jan, Feb and March. However, we are confident that the way it is shaping up, there will not be any significant impact of the Gold Metal Loan price.

If we look at the balance sheet, the balance sheet has -- size has increased from INR 3,715 crores to INR 4,733 crores, a INR 1,000 crores increase in the balance sheet level, which is primarily on account of increased inventory. So inventory has increased by INR 819 crores. So primarily, it is an increase in inventory and increase in bank FD and margin. So the bank FD and margin increases due to the higher borrowing and higher hedging ratio, et cetera, which has been funded by net worth. So the QIP funds, which we raised, the QIP funds have been used for working capital purposes and a part of QIP funds are still in FD, which we use in course of time.

And Gold Metal Loan has increased by INR 272 crores. A very important point we want to raise is that our Gold Metal Loan, which was earlier appearing in the financing activity in line with the industry patterns and discussion with the statutory auditor, we have reclassified it as a part of operating cash flow, which is visible in the face of the balance sheet. And the operating cash flow has also improved. So during the year, there is an increase in inventory. So still the operating cash flow is good. The inventory quantity has also increased overall, which we'll discuss in detail.

The financial ratios, which you see in the presentation, particularly the return on equity and ROCE, optically, this will look to have a downward trend. But what we want to explain is that these are the cost of investment. Whenever you grow, the ROE and the equity will not yield you the 20% or 21% return in the same year. So this -- we look at our return ratios in a long-term fashion. We are a growing company, while my existing portfolio will give me 20% blended return, but the new portfolio will give me high return.

So with that, I close my discussion. And if MD sir has to add something kindly add or we can proceed for any Q&A session now.

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

No, just to add to what Mr. Banka said that our same-store sales growth has continued to be in the range of 15% to 16%. So that has been a very strong number. And even though the stores have been existing for a long period of time, whether it is our old customers who are coming and buying their products or new customers that are getting aligned to the brand and getting engaged with the brand, we continue to grow for our same-store sales growth with 15%.

And also, as I mentioned to you that the old gold exchanges that had gone up to 40% of the overall sales, out of the old gold that comes into our system, and I've been saying it before as well, more than 60% of the old gold is the non-Senco old gold that is coming to us, which is, again, I would say, reinstating and reimposing the fact that the shift from the unorganized segment to the organized brands continue to remain in this scenario as well, and consumers are preferring to buy from brands and organized jewelers.

So with this, I think we are opening up the discussions for the Q&A. So feel free to ask questions. Thank you very much.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Videesha Sheth from AMBIT Capital.

V
Videesha Sheth
analyst

So my first question was, I mean, I do understand that margins need to be looked at from an annual basis, and we have to ignore the quarterly vagaries. But just to understand the cost a little bit better, what led to the 25% or 27% increase in the employee spend? And on the other hand, you've seen 13% decline in the other operating expenses for the quarter?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

So Vida, as you said that our turnover, which was around INR 1,362 crores is one of the highest in the last 3 years. So last year, it was INR 1,130 crores and previous year it was INR 813 crores Q4 turnover. So you are comparing this number against Q3 or Q4? That is first question.

V
Videesha Sheth
analyst

Sorry, I meant on a Y-o-Y basis.

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

Y-o-Y. Correct, correct. So Y-o-Y itself, the top line has grown by almost 20%, right? So now what we see is that it is never exactly symmetrical because a lot of stores come up in -- at a different point of time. So maybe when you are looking at quarter 4 number last year and then the cost base has increased. So when the cost base increases to, let's say, by 16 stores and which also has come during quarter 1, 2 and 3, the cost base is not same. In the previous year also, if the store is opened in -- even in Q4 in February or March. So this year, the impact will be for the full 3 months then there is an increment because we are investing substantially in our people, in our training.

And also in order to promote -- as the market is competitive, we have to keep our employee motivated with incentive and rewards. So this is the impact of the overall scheme, which you will see in the financials.

V
Videesha Sheth
analyst

Got it. So just to clarify, would there be any hedging-related expenses on the OpEx side that's been accounted for?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

No, no, no. See, hedging-related expenses, we have explained in detail, kindly refer to my document. Hedging expenses, depending upon whether it's a fair value hedge or a cash flow hedge, it will either get adjusted to cost of goods sold or it will be separately disclosed in the financials as other income or other expenses. So if there is no other income or other expenses, they will never be clubbed under the general OpEx. Kindly refer to my detailed document on hedging.

V
Videesha Sheth
analyst

Sure. Moving to the second question. What led to the increase in inventory days from, I think, around 170 FY '24 to 190 in '25? And how should one look at it going forward?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

So inventory days, see, we have said earlier that we are a growing company. The number of stores is increasing. Particularly, if you look at competitor, I understand the inventory days are in the range of 170 to 180. This is still 166, right? It has increased from 151. So as we are looking forward to increase the diamond sales, the diamond inventory days increases. And as you go hyperlocal, right, with a higher spread outside East, which is 20%, there are experiments which you have to do with a hyperlocal continuously shuffle. So these are the regular process. But these are, to my understanding, within the industry norms and slightly better than the top players in the industry.

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

And also, Videesha, because of the increase in gold price, we have seen that the sales have also been seasonal. And like, for example, if I consider the whole year, your April -- just to summarize, if we see what has happened throughout the year. In the month of April and May, it was the election season. And we had seen that the overall sales, even though we had grown, it was against the various challenges in the external market.

Then when we looked at June, July, prices had gone up. In August, the duty got cut and there was a bumper sale in the month of August, and we were running short of inventory because there was over, I would say, unexpected sales.

Then in September, before the festive season, prices shot up and there was a little bit of slowdown. Then in October, for Diwali and Dhanteras, we had seen a very good sales happening then November, December was wedding.

Then again, January, February, March, the wedding sales continue to happen and the diamond sales picked up from the month of October, November up to, say, March. So the whole year has seen a lot of ups and downs in terms of the growth in sales or the slowdown. And with the increase of 30% to 40% in gold price, we can only reduce the inventory at the stores to a certain extent to optimize, but we also need to be ready to cater to the consumer demand whenever the sales are in demand.

So that has been another reason I would say that the gold price rise and the perfect planning that we are continuously trying to do is making this number of days what it is.

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

Sir, if I can add, like as you rightly said, gold prices, which were in the range of INR 7,639 to INR 7,675 in Q3, they improved substantially to INR 7,689 to INR 9,012. That means 7,675 ending increased to INR 9,012. That is one factor.

And Videesha, once again, we have to continuously grow. So the March number is always higher because this is a readiness for Akshaya Tritiya. And we have already talked about our Akshaya Tritiya sales. So the March number and September number will always be higher because September is ahead of Dhanteras. So this is an investment in future. We don't look at as idle inventory. These are clearly investment in future. And when we are looking at our long-term goal, we are very confident that we are managing our inventory very efficiently.

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

And this time, Akshaya Tritiya was also in April rather than in May. So we have to be ready for inventory in the month of March itself.

V
Videesha Sheth
analyst

Understood. So just as a small follow-up to this. By when do you think the ROCEs could inch back to 18%, 20%? Is it a 3-year, 4-year, 5 -- year time line that you have in mind?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

See, we are looking at 16% to 17% in the next 3 to 4 years, right? And even during QIP and IPO, we were cognizant that as we raise funds, so we raised the IPO funds and QIP funds, NPE funds. So these have got diluted. But yes, our existing portfolio is giving us this return. 3 to 4 years, it will inch back to 17%, 18%.

V
Videesha Sheth
analyst

Just last one question from my side. Can you just elaborate on what initiatives can be-- are being undertaken to improve the organic growth profile in the non-East region of the country?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

So rather than getting too much into the strategy, we will tell you that in terms of brand building, marketing expenditure, connecting with the consumers, creating designs as per the local taste and preferences. I think these are the ways in which we are continuously gathering and attracting consumers in the non-East segment.

And if you look at the numbers overall, we have grown by 23% in the non-East segment also. And as the brand is getting stronger and the awareness level of the brand is increasing, then the inquiries and the leads for franchisees in the Tier 2, 3, 4 towns and cities of the non-East segment of India is also increasing, and we would like to grow into the smaller towns using our franchisee model as well. So I think that at one end, we have the brand building, at one end, we have the product strategy.

And if I may say that in terms of the diamonds, in terms of design for diamonds and in terms of trying to be as competitive in the diamond segment, we are trying our level best to remain attractive to the consumer. So I think that product strategy, branding and distribution. These are the broad 3 methods by which we are penetrating and growing in the non-East segment.

Operator

We'll take the next question from the line of Vishal Gutka from ASK Investment Management.

V
Vishal Gutka
analyst

A couple of questions from my side. So first was the interest in Gold Metal Loan after seeing a spike up around 6%, 6.5%. Can you give a flavor what is happening as of now? What are the rates as of now, ongoing rates?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

The ongoing rate, Vishal, ongoing rate has reduced from -- just 1 minute. The ongoing rate has -- which was higher because there was very short supply of gold in the market. It was around 6.6% -- From 3.2% in Jan, it increased to 5.3% in February and 6.6% in March. In April, it has come down by 100 basis points. May, we are still talking. So there is a good availability and then considering this all the cold war, which was there, the uncertainty has come down. So the blended interest cost -- higher even today at 7% as against 5.9% earlier.

So we are given to understand from the banks that this will further come down. So max-max, if I hazard to take a risk for the entire -- that will amount to around, let's say, 1% on INR 1,000 crores is INR 10 crores on a base of INR 10 crores on a top line of around INR 7,400 crores, INR 7,500 crores. So not a major issue now at all and [indiscernible].

V
Vishal Gutka
analyst

Do we expect it to settle down the original level or it will remain elevated above the original levels?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

As I said, it is very difficult to hazard the guess. I think that it will still be 100 basis points higher than the earlier rate. But it may come down. Let's wait and watch. We will give you an update once the quarter ends.

V
Vishal Gutka
analyst

Got it. And second question is on the diamond pricing that Suvankar was highlighting. I think diamond price -- national diamond prices have started moving up. So broadly, Suvankar, if you can highlight what kind of price increase that you have in last 1 year? And what is the exit rate as of now so that -- because none of the jewelers have highlighted this point that with regards to they are seeing a big traction in terms of what you call diamond jewelry sales coming back in fashion.

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

But I think that in terms of sales of diamond jewelry, what we had seen in the H1 of the year, H2 of the year has been that much more stronger. And the volume growth that you have seen happening in Q3 or Q4 and May, there is this traction. Maybe the others will soon update as and when they think it is fit.

But that shift and that sale that we are seeing is for 2 reasons. One is that the high gold prices making the consumers look at 18-carat and 14-carat jewelry with diamond as an option to buy. And the second is that the sentiment, which I again may be repeating that diamond prices are not a good investment and the prices have come down. Those were the sentiments in the first half of the year for 2024. But I think even at the international level, we are seeing a marginal increase in the diamond prices of solitaire. And the smaller size diamonds were not that much impacted in terms of price fall anyways.

So I think that there, again, we are looking at the demand happening and coming back. So solitaires have grown in terms of prices, I think, around 4% to 5% from what it was maybe a month or 2 months back. And that is the good sign. Just the public news about diamonds, we had one on De Beers shutting down their lab-grown diamond company, which are small, small signals that they are also wanting to focus on growing their natural diamond business.

So this is how I think it's all -- the market is playing out. Lab-grown diamonds will remain a segment to look at for the fashion segment and natural diamonds will be a segment to look at for your special occasions. And the small-sized diamonds is something that is selling anyway more in natural diamonds. And that in terms of design and how people bring out the concept, it will continue to be something to look at. And at such high level of gold price, let me tell you that purity in terms of 14 and 18 carat will become only -- will only grow and diamond jewelry should be growing at these high gold prices. So that is my take on it.

V
Vishal Gutka
analyst

Got it. Got it. And last question from my side. Suvankar, the growth rate of 18% to 20% looks relatively on the conservative side given that we are seeing 30% increase in gold price on a Y-o-Y basis. Plus 10% store addition you're planning to do for the entire year. So your thoughts on this?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

See, I will only -- last year, if I say that we were INR 5,300 crores, INR 5,400 crores, and we had aimed for 18% to 20% growth. And today, we ended the year with INR 6,000 -- close to INR 6,300 crores. So that is where we are saying that we will continue to commit in terms of what we feel is possible, and we will try to work hard towards achieving the numbers higher to that.

But as far as the expectations are concerned, the gold prices have moved up. But we are also seeing that the volumes are not moving up yet unless the gold prices correct. And the consumers are looking at jewelry, which is of lighter weight and lower purity. So that is something that we need to also keep in mind. And the new stores will continue to get added. So it will be wonderful that if the growth rate comes more than what we say. But for all of your analysis and numbers, I think 18% to 20% is a good number to begin with.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Devanshu Bansal from Emkay Global.

D
Devanshu Bansal
analyst

Congratulations on a good execution and an encouraging margin outlook for FY '26 as well. Sir, my question is on the growth capital, right? So balance sheet is a bit stretched due to obviously, there is a strong spike in gold prices. So -- and we are planning to add about 8 to 10 company-owned stores as well, right? So interestingly, with the QIP raise, the debt-to-equity ratio has now come down to 0.9x versus 1.1x last year. So I just wanted to check as in from a growth capital perspective, would that be a more attractive option as of now because our balance sheet sort of allows us the leverage option? Or what is your sort of thought process on the growth capital side?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

So Devanshu, from a strategic point of view, obviously, we are aware that opening more and more franchisees is a much more wiser thing to do and the correct thing to do in this kind of a scenario. And to give you a kind of a perspective that there are a lot of inquiries that are getting generated in terms of franchisees also. We are analyzing, checking locations, all kinds of analysis to get the right partners and franchisees.

So from a strategic point of view, it will always be better to open more franchisees than your company-owned company-operated stores in this scenario. And that will be our plan. But if we need to open 18 to 20 stores, we will make sure that keeping our policies in place, we will open minimum 10 franchisees. If that becomes 12, then obviously, we will have lesser number of company-owned company-operated stores of, say, 5 to 6. But we need to get the right partners to get that as well. So if I may say 8 to 10 company-owned company-operated store and 8 to 10 franchisee, that number can become 6 and 13 or 14 as well. But the balance sheet stress in terms of taking more and more funds.

One thing we feel is that today's day and time, the gold prices have moved up by 30% to 40%. So the assets that we are holding in terms of the inventory at the stores, the value of those assets have gone up. But if you look at in terms of quantity of gold that is there at the stores and the stocks that are needed to be there to sell to the consumers, we are not building up higher quantities, but we are rather optimizing in ensuring that, that kind of product is kept at the store, which is most sellable. So that efficiency and optimization is continuously happening. And so that worry of the balance sheet building up is not really there.

And yes, the sales team are focusing on building up more and more franchisees. But we will only inform to all of you on that as and when we are doing it. But as we begin the year, we will try to have a conservative approach of 8 to 10 own stores and 8 to 10 franchisees.

D
Devanshu Bansal
analyst

Sir, fair point. But my -- I just wanted to have some basic strategic thought process behind the debt-to-equity comfort levels, right? So currently, obviously, we are at suboptimal level versus the industry levels also. So as of now, since the cash is limited on the balance sheet, so what is the comfortable level of debt-to-equity that the company would be targeting for? Just the thought process of...

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

Devanshu, if you look at the peak debt-to-equity, March '23, it was 1.7, March '22 was 1.3. And last year, it fell to 1.4 then 1.2. So it is about what is right at a particular point of time. And this industry being highly cyclical and the gold price, so the decision has to be taken at a moment of time, but the decision has to be taken in the right perspective.

I think if I give you a straight answer, we won't raise any funds by way of equity to meet any demand and pressure for the growth. It will be managed from internal accrual and debt-equity ratio and continuous inventory efficiency improvement is the core mantra. So the CRM, hyperlocal inventory efficiency movement, improving inventory turn, they will continue to be our strategic pillar to manage the growth as [indiscernible].

D
Devanshu Bansal
analyst

That is pretty clear, Mr. Banka. Secondly, I wanted to touch upon another aspect is around the customer growth, right? So we have been expanding stores by almost 9%, 10%. But even if we see for the complete year, I guess, our customer growth or invoice growth has been about 5%, 6%, right? So, Suvankar, is this -- how do you read this? I mean is this just because of inflated gold price? Because the general fear is also that this industry may lose its shield because customers are not coming, maybe they may sort of need lead for purchasing the jewelry and all those things.

So what are the steps that the company is sort of taking to improve the customer level growth or the invoice level growth? Obviously, gold price increases, volume decreases, that is understandable. But what are the steps that as a company we are taking to improve the invoice growth?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

So Devanshu, it is like -- it is how you're looking at it. So one is that the invoices -- number of invoices has grown by 5% to 6%. But if we look at the footfalls of the consumer with the new stores getting added or even in the same-store sales growth that we are seeing around 14% to 15% in terms of value, the footfalls have gone up by almost 16% to 17%.

So therefore, the perspective is that the consumers are becoming diverse. There is one set of consumers who are adding to any of the jewelry companies is the wedding customers. They have weddings in their family. So that consumer is coming, they're buying for their wedding or the family is buying jewelry, they're exchanging their old gold and taking a new design. So that is the one segment of customers.

And the other segment of customers is where they are buying gold or diamond for their everyday wear basis or their special occasions. So that has been the diversity of the customer in terms of what they are coming and buying.

Volumes have taken a hit because the gold prices have gone up about 30%, 35%. So people are looking at lighter weight jewelry. But if I may say, it doesn't really change the broad perspective and fundamentals that, oh my God, prices have gone up, and we will lose customers. Jewelry is something that will continue to remain a very, very strong, I would say, segment for wedding, for gifting.

And Devanshu, one more aspect that you are looking at for us, at least, we are also having a lot of other low ticket size options in terms of silver and fashion jewelry. So that has also been a great opportunity for us to keep on connecting with the customers. If I look at silver as a category, while we have spoken of gold and diamonds, we have seen that the silver utensils and silver items and jewelry has grown by almost 20% and above in terms of volume as well. So there has been that as a segment also where consumers are coming and buying in their small ticket size. We are exploring opportunities of having shop-in-shops in various departmental stores, keeping our silver jewelry segment there.

So I don't see it as a worry. We just need to solve the problem of the customer, of creating jewelry, which is within their ticket size and budget. So footfalls have been mostly growing. And again, I'm telling you that 21% growth in terms of footfalls even in this challenging time. So therefore, what is happening is that when the prices suddenly shoot up, we see lesser footfall at the stores. But when the prices correct or there is a special occasion happening, then we see that everyone wants to buy during that period of time. So I think that we need not worry on the way that you are looking at. We just need to wait for the right time, be ready for the right moment.

And I think coming this Q2, in this scenario, we need to expect a very positive monsoon. And once the festive season started, so this time, the Navratra start in the end of September, Diwali is in the middle of October. So once we are over with, say, July, from August onwards, the festive will start, and we are very positive and optimistic about the festive season.

D
Devanshu Bansal
analyst

Understood. Sir, just last small follow-up here. As in gold prices have sort of moderated a bit. So can you shed some light as in, is Q1 so far trending in line with the 18% to 20% expectation for FY '26? Just small comments.

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

Yes, yes. Devanshu, I had said it in my speech as well. So we are growing at around 18% to 19% as we are towards the end of May. This time in April, we had a very good Akshaya Tritiya and New Year. So therefore, it has been a very strong number, and that is how it is.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Bhavya Gandhi from Dalal & Broacha Stock Broking.

B
Bhavya Gandhi
analyst

Sir, my first question is regarding the advertisement and marketing spend for the quarter. My question comes from -- because our revenue grew 21% on a Y-o-Y basis for this quarter, but our other expenses have fallen 13%. So what has driven lower other expenses? If you can provide some clarity on that front?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

Advertisement expenses have fallen, right? Is that what you're saying?

B
Bhavya Gandhi
analyst

Yes. I just want to understand whether in the other expenses -- because advertisement is a major component, right?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

Yes. So Bhavya, if you look at our total advertisement expenditure, which was INR 103 crores last year had increased to INR 106 crores, right? So while -- so see, this is one expenditure of the investment where the management had its discretion, and it is calibrated based upon market demand, right? So if we see there is a good demand, then there is no need to spend money. So we are -- our expenditure is lesser than 2%. It has increased.

Your question is on the quarter versus quarter, right? I'm giving response. I'm on Slide #42, serial #4, and you are comparing fourth line. So INR 31 crores last year versus INR 17 crores last year, right -- this year. So actually, it is not exactly comparable. There are timings of expenditure. And sometimes if I have already done the brand building in Q3, so there is no need to spend exactly in Q4. It is very dynamic expenditure. If I have incurred a good BPL outside Bengal ahead of the entire year, I will not spend in current year.

So we prefer to look this expenditure for the whole year. Every expenditure is not same on a quarter basis. So you can look at HR expenditure in the quarter, revenue for the quarter, but not the marketing expenditure.

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

And also in Q3, we had the Navratri, the festives, the wedding, everything was there in Q3. And we wanted to ensure that in Q4, we bring in more efficiency. And we could see that there was an automatic traction from the consumer side in January and February. So we were very conscious of bringing efficiency, and we controlled the budget accordingly. So that's how we looked at it.

B
Bhavya Gandhi
analyst

Got it. And sir, just wanted to understand the unhedged portion, which is there in our books basically. And if you can just provide a scenario in which if the gold price remains stagnated or if they are falling, do we see any inventory loss on our books? I understand majority is hedged, but on the unhedged portion, how much is it at the moment? And if you can throw some light on the gold price movement?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

Bhavya, we have discussed a lot about our hedging policy strategy. I will request you if you kindly look at our detailed document. But to give you an answer, we've always said we are 80% to 100% hedged, right -- 60% to 80%, right? Sometimes it can cross 80% also. And that is at the inventory level.

So there are 2 aspects of hedging. One is on the inventory level hedging. So when we talk about the losses, on the inventory, there will be no loss. It will be unrealized loss, unrealized gain if the position will be squared up in the next quarter. The question is that whatever gold you have sold in the current quarter, assuming a 6 tonne of gold sales, assuming a 1,500 kg of gold sold in a quarter, whether you have purchased the same quantity or not. If I sell gold at a higher price and purchase at a lower price, then there will be unusual realization gain, which will go into the gross margin, right? So there is no unusual inventory gains or losses or realization gains or losses. So let us look at the hedging as a part of our gross margin as an integral to our business and not as a separate activity.

B
Bhavya Gandhi
analyst

No. So I mean, logically asking, say, for example, if next 1 or 2 years, if gold prices remain stagnated or maybe for -- I understand that you replenish the quantity of gold in terms of kg. That is the right understanding. Is it right? But if the gold prices remain, if you can just throw some light on the demand, how does the demand move in a gold price downward scenario? And how does it -- overall, maybe for 2 years, how do we see the gross margins or EBITDA margins for that intermittent period?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

So if the gold price falls, there will definitely be immediate demand because customers will come in the flock, right? While those who have purchased will remain in shock. But if the gold price remains stagnant, stable prices, then the demand will increase. And in a stagnant prices, hedging impact will be lesser. It will give you more stable gross margin. So in case of stable gold prices, the gross margin will be stable. In case of volatile gold prices, there may be a timing gap in the gross margin despite best of the effort, and they can move from one quarter to other. But over a period of 3 to 4 quarters, you will see a smooth margin.

So to answer your question, we have -- we look at a stable EBITDA margin of whatever our MD has said, 6.8% to 7.2%. If I can make it slightly better, 7% to 7.5%. So we look at a 7% to 7.5% every quarter, but it may not happen. But if you look at 3 to 4 quarters, it will surely happen. And that is the past trend. So the only anomaly which we saw in the quarter 2 and quarter 3 this year was due to the custom duty impact. So that's why you saw a slightly lesser EBITDA margin, which has become stable in the current quarter.

There may be very one-off impact, let's say, the diamond sale is lesser or if there is one season where you have to offer a more discount. So that's all. But 7% to 7.5% EBITDA margin, one can very comfortably build in the model. That's our understanding.

Operator

We'll take the next question from the line of Satyajit Sen from Value Research.

S
Satyajit Sen
analyst

I just had a couple of questions. First of all, what percentage of the inventory do we get from third-party manufacturing?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

Third party, as we -- if you look at our presentation, third party around 20% to 21%. If you look at our quarterly presentation, you will find that number. Around 20% to 21% is -- we buy traded jewelry, balance around 70% to 75% is from the karigars. So in-house manufacturing is 4% to 5%.

S
Satyajit Sen
analyst

All right. So another simple question is that some of the third-party manufacturers, one of them is listed, is earning around net margins of around 2% to 3%, similar to our company. So my simple question is that why don't we do our own manufacturing, I mean, to add to our own margins?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

So we are doing our own manufacturing to a certain extent. But in order to get the variety of designs and every manufacturer has their certain strong USPs in terms of designing and style and category of jewelry. So like, for example, sitting with our head office in Kolkata, I have always been saying that we have a big strength in terms of getting access to our karigars. And for the industry, I think in the long run, that will give us an edge because most of the karigars working across the country comes from the villages and small towns in and around Kolkata.

So that is a strength in which we are strong in handcrafted jewelry and the access to karigars. But again, in terms of designing, machineries, certain new technology, there are other players who have invested in those. So we need to get that variety and design from them. But parallelly also as a company, we have our own units and factory also, which is trying its level best to utilize its full capacity and make machine-made and modern jewelry along with the handcrafted jewelry that we are making from the job workers. So it's there very much in our plan, but it cannot happen overnight. It is going to be a gradual process.

S
Satyajit Sen
analyst

All right. I mean in future, how much of -- I mean, today, it's 5%. Are we planning to increase it to about 10%, 20% maybe in future?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

No, I don't think -- no, no, I don't think so. We have -- see, as the volume increases, it will be a matter of time, but we have said it will be 5%, maximum 5%. I'm looking at one of the other players. So your question was why not manufacturing. So a B2B business is in risk of trade receivable, okay? So if you look at the one other such player, they are almost -- 80% of their net worth is stuck in trade receivable, 80% of net worth, okay? So that is one.

So while -- so it is a matter of cash flow also, then there are other issues. I think everyone has a business strategy, we feel that we are very comfortable. We have run this business. We have competence and expertise in our business. We don't look at here and there. And we have huge opportunity in the current business itself. We are looking at a INR 90 billion market. A B2C market is always better. It is valued more because you have a direct reach to the customer vis-a-vis a B2B business where you are dependent upon on a retailer. So I think that is where the market places more value on any business, which has direct reach and connect to the customer.

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

And from a supply chain perspective, we are only going to grow in the future. We will need stocks in a timely manner. We will need the hyperlocal design as we grow across the country. So there are pluses and minuses, we need to balance it, but we will need the support of all our -- these fellow vendors who we consider as vendor partners, and we will need to grow together. That is how we are looking at it.

Operator

We take the next question from the line of Pallavi Deshpande from Sameeksha Capital.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

Sir, I just wanted to understand the diamond portion of the inventory. Would it be roughly 10%?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

It will be around more than 10%. So when we are talking at more than 10%, around 13% to 14% would be the diamond percentage of the total inventory.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

Right. And sir, this big fall in the diamond prices in third quarter, which we saw, would we have written down the inventory in the third quarter? Or was that included in our hedging loss of INR 90 crores that you stated in third quarter?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

No. See, first of all, hedging is done only on gold and not on diamond. Secondly, the big fall, which you are talking, that has not happened on the [ Star and Milon ] category, which we sell. So almost 85% to 90% of our diamonds are below $0.10 to $0.12. There the price fall has not happened. Price fall has happened in a higher end, let's say, solitaire. And even if I call $0.30, $0.40 solitaire in that category, it has happened.

So we have not taken any hit on the diamond inventory. Rather last year, we increased our diamond prices. We've already grown almost 39% plus in quarter 4. This quarter, we are also growing. So there is no question of us taking any hit on diamond price. We have rather built up our diamond inventory during this crisis time. So we -- our strategy is entirely different. When the market goes a different way, we take a controlling view to take the leadership position.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

Right, sir. Sir, my second question was just again related to this hit in the third quarter that we had of exceptional hit. So that was a hedging loss on the gold jewelry is what you have?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

See, in quarter 2 and quarter 3, we have taken a hit of custom duty and most of the other players have taken custom duty hit. So those players...

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

Apart from that.

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

Apart from that, I will once again restate the same thing that we do hedging as a part of our business, and we will continue to do hedging. Hedging will always have an impact. We don't call hedging impact as a loss. So when the gold price rises, there will be -- due to price rise, we will have a realization gain. And since we are doing hedging, there will be adverse impact due to the hedging. We don't want to call it loss. It's a part of the price rise gain and the hedging impact. And hence, you have to look at the gross margin and EBITDA from that perspective.

Yes, our EBITDA margin has fluctuated earlier, which we've explained in detail, but it was disproportionate due to custom duty, it has stabilized, and we are hopeful and confident and we'll try to give a very stable EBITDA margin to the market. But it will all depend upon the extent and momentum of volatility.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

Right. And sir, I wanted to know what is the promoter stakes? Some confusion I'm having calculating that.

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

Promoter stake has been disclosed in our quarterly presentation. It is 64.32%, if I remember the number correctly. Kindly go to our quarterly presentation. It is 64.33% on Slide#45.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

Right. And sir, lastly, the franchisee stores, I mean, the stud ratio is lower there. So I wanted to understand what is the outlook on the stud ratio. Also in Tier 3 and 4, you're seeing more growth. So that -- will that not impact the stud ratio negatively?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

See, stud ratio, what we inform you that 10.9% is a blended of own-store and franchisee store and a blend of various zones. So in one of the calls earlier, we said that our own-store stud ratio is around 14%, if I remember correctly, 13.5% to 14% and franchisee debt to -- Obviously, franchisee is working in Tier 3 and Tier 4. So there the diamond demand will be lesser, right? So 12.2% is the number if -- 12.2% and 8.6% this will be blended.

But incidentally, we have opened store in Central region. The stud ratio is 17% for a franchisee. Franchisee stud ratio in Central region is 17%. That is only a single store, okay? Otherwise, in West Bengal, East and Northeast is around 8.5%. But our own-store, Delhi NCR is 15.3%. While my national average is 12.2%, Delhi NCR is 15.3% and my Chandigarh store is very high. Even in Kolkata, the store is very high. So we clearly look at a very good stud ratio. It can go up to 18% also, while very conservatively, we are saying 15% in the next 3 to 4 years.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

And the new store openings will be primarily in North or...

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

Primarily, The new stores opening will be a combination of North and East. So we will try to -- like we say that 70% to 80% of the stores will be North and East of India and the remaining 20% of the stores will be in the West and South of India. So that is how we will be focusing on the growth part because as a strong -- one of the strongest players in the Eastern part of the country, we will want to penetrate deeper and deeper into the Tier 2, 3, 4 towns and cities of East. And North being our next core focus area, we will continue to -- through own-store and franchisee, we will penetrate into the northern part of the country. So that is how we select.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

In FY '25...

Operator

I am so sorry to interrupt. May we request that you rejoin the queue for further questions? We take the last question from the line of Deepak Lalwani from Unifi Capital.

D
Deepak Lalwani
analyst

So first question was on Melorra. We entered this master franchisee agreement. So if you can explain how the business model will work, online -- how many offline stores, how is it online?

Secondly, any investment that we need to do on the store inventory, et cetera? And is there a plan to take up shareholding in this company? These are -- this is the first question.

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

So I just talked about the agreement. It's a short-term agreement that we have done. And here, as a master franchisee, we are managing the stores. We are -- the focus and you have to understand the strategic initiative that we are taking in an effort to connect and target the new generation Gen Z/millennial customers. So that is the strategic focus. And also through that focus area, we want to increase our diamond jewelry sales and the stud ratio also.

So as a company, with that broad thought process, of acquiring new customers, new generation customers, increasing the diamond jewelry sales, we are taking various efforts and initiatives, and this is one such effort and initiative. And in the -- through the master franchise agreement, this is like one of those type of stores and it is only lightweight, fast-moving everyday wear jewelry with a higher share of diamond studded jewelry. So yes, we will be investing and creating and producing more diamond studded jewelry, and we will be investing in the diamond studded jewelry. And with this high gold price, as I said, we are looking at 14-carat jewelry that is selling more, 18-carat jewelry selling more for office wear, everyday wear. And I think that is where we want to explore the opportunities through this strategic tie-up with Melorra.

And as far as your question on the future is concerned, I think that all I can tell you is that we are doing due diligence, and this is just a short understanding that we have done with them. But on further due diligence and analysis, we will take a future decision. So that is how we would like to look at it.

D
Deepak Lalwani
analyst

Okay. Understood. And if any further decision is taken on this, what kind of capital investment would it be? Do you think that we will be requiring to invest in reviving the brand because this brand has not been in the market for the last 2, 3 years? So what kind of investment that is one?

And any impact on financials that we should expect because this is loss-making currently? Any impact on Senco consolidated financials that we should expect because of the losses in Melorra in FY '26?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

See, this is a UPSI information. At this juncture, these are strategic numbers. We will not be able to share the numbers. Let the bridge come, then we'll cross it.

D
Deepak Lalwani
analyst

Okay. Sure. sir, just on the...

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

So we basically -- as and when things and decisions are taken, we will keep updating the market. So I think this is too early to expect or forecast and how the -- anything will happen. So let us wait and then rest assured as and when things happen, we will have a discussion and update you on the same.

D
Deepak Lalwani
analyst

Understood. Sir, on the balance sheet part, the debt and inventory, I understand that it's seasonal, but how much more debt and inventory should we expect and budget for the new stores for the full year?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

See, debt, we have a limit of around let's say -- we are looking at around, let's say, around INR 300 crores to INR 400 crores further working capital, okay? And let's say, around whatever PAT number. So debt-to-equity ratio of 1:1 or 1.2 is very comfortable. We are -- but this is clearly dependent upon the market price movement. So when you compare the debt working inventory value, optically, it has increased by INR 821 crores. But the gold -- but a major part of it, almost INR 500 crores out of this is due to rate variance. So out of INR 821 crores, INR 500 crores is only due to rate variance. INR 321 crores is on account of new stores and diamons.

So very clearly, now this impact has come on the balance sheet, which is -- which last year has been funded by our QIP funds and borrowing. So if the price -- if the situation remains -- the gold prices remain stable, which we expect it to remain in the range of INR 3,300 to INR 3,500 for FY '26, I think maximum INR 350 incremental borrowing is what you can look for.

D
Deepak Lalwani
analyst

Understood. Sir, last question on the volume growth in diamond that we saw in this quarter, is it like a onetime phenomenon? Or are we seeing growth continuing in Q1 as well? Why I'm asking this is because has lab-grown given a setback or has volatility in the price given a setback? So just wanted to understand the growth outlook in the diamond sales.

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

See, the diamond price definitely Q4 was disproportionate because there was no growth in the earlier quarters. And despite this growth, the stud ratio has remained in the range of 10.8%, 10.9%, which is similar to the last year. So while the value growth has happened, but the volume growth is only, I think, some 3%, 4% overall.

Now -- so similarly, lab-grown diamond, I think one more large player has talked about entering into lab-grown diamond. But long term, we feel that lab-grown diamond will create new set of aspirants who will ultimately convert into a real diamond. So overall, as we said, total 18% to 20% growth, obviously, 14% to 15% SSG. So this growth has to be contributed by gold and diamond both.

So on a safe level, 20% -- maximum 15% to 20% diamond growth we can look at, which will purely be driven by the volume. Price increase will not happen. So we can look at 15% to 20% diamond volume growth.

D
Deepak Lalwani
analyst

Understood. Sir, on that number, if you can disclose what will be -- what is our Q4 and FY '25 gold and diamond volume growth separately for Q4 and FY '25?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

So the Q4 FY '25, volume growth in gold was minus 6%, but the volume growth in diamond was 21%. So that is the Q4 numbers.

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

And sir, full year number I have, full year number gold volume is around minus 3% overall, which means around 38% price rise, 21% value rise, around 3% volume degrowth in the full year and 2% diamond volume growth. So this 2% diamond volume growth is not fully to our expectation. We look at around, as I said, 15% to 20% volume growth. Otherwise, the growth has to come by increasing the prices for which the opportunity is not much.

Operator

We take the next question from the line of Pallavi Deshpande from Sameeksha Capital.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

Just wanted to continue on that. Where will the new store openings be -- sorry, where were the new store openings happened in FY '25? Which Tier 3 or was it more on metro...

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

The new store happening, ma'am, out of the 16 stores that we opened, 6 were franchisees that happened in the smaller towns because that's where most of our franchisees are opening. And 1 Sennes store was in the metro city, Sennes store. And the remaining 8 to 9 stores that we opened have been in the East India, Kolkata, Delhi NCR. So -- Pune also...

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

[indiscernible] Varansi Bhelupur, we've opened.

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

Varansi Bhelupur was in the -- if you call it a Tier 2 city. So -- but focusing on East and North India.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

Would it be more to say that it was more metro and Tier 1, the own-stores?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

No, not more metro and Tier 1. I think that 6 stores were in Tier 2, 3, 4, -- 6 to 8 stores and 6 to 8 stores in Tier 1, Delhi NCR, Kolkata, in and around Kolkata suburbs. That is how you have to look at it. So more -- as a franchisee model that we want to grow, again, the strategy is to focus on the smaller towns. So that is the way that we want to penetrate into the market.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

And this Everlite store will be totally different, right, from the guidance that you've given?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

Yes, the Everlite stores like we opened 1 Everlite store in [ Rasi ] as well. So Everlite store is a model in which the franchisee or our own -- like we opened in the month of April, we opened 1 Everlite store in Andheri Metro Station, right? So that is where we are trying to focus on the everyday wear, lightweight jewelry below a ticket size of INR 1 lakh, but focusing more on INR 20,000 to INR 50,000 price range with a 50% to 60% diamond focus. So that's how we are looking at the Everlite stores.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

So that's not included in the 16 number, right? The store number?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

It is in the 16 numbers. Ma'am in the 16 number, the Everlite stores there is.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

Okay. So how many Everlite stores are there in FY '25?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

How many Everlite store was total there in FY '25, Bankaji?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

So Everlite store is written -- So if you go to the...

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

4 to 5 Everlite stores. 4 to 5. We will let him confirm the number.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

And this number will be constant in FY '26 also?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

So Everlite store is 5 number, which we have disclosed on Slide#16 -- No, Everlite stores will increase. See, it makes sense as we look for lower ticket items as you want to reach to the youngsters and Gen Z and millennials, we have to find where they are staying. Are they living in the big housing society or they are on the field. So that way focus will also be Everlite. You can look at 3, 4 more Everlite stores out of 20. So 20 is a conservative number. Everlite, our inventory exposure is lower. So if you like, we have opened in Andheri Station, we can open more.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

And inventory would be about INR 5 crores, INR 6 crores?

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

Yes. I request you and other esteemed guest on this call to kindly grace and visit our Andheri Metro, this Everlite stores, you will get a fairly good idea. We have got other stores as well in Andheri, Lokhandwala, et cetera. That will help you understand -- better understanding of our business model.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

Right. I saw it on the website, nice collection there. Just wanted to understand what any revenue targets for this for the next few years for Everlite?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

Ma'am, we are not having any separate revenue target for Everlite. We are right now putting it in the -- within the target, but these are the strategies with which we want to increase our diamond stud ratio. So we haven't specified any particular number yet. But then those stores have their own targets. So as and when the scaling up of the stores will happen and we get set with the business model further stronger, we will start sharing these separate revenue targets for Everlite.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

And the pricing, I mean, CaratLane, BlueStone, that would be the peer set, right?

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

The peer -- that would be the pricing in terms of the overall the kind of designs and products that are there. But in terms of the further breakups, if we get into it, we will stay more competitive than our competition.

P
Pallavi Deshpande
analyst

LAstraZeneca question was on the...

Operator

Sorry to interrupt you. Due to time constraint, that will be the last question. I'm sorry, ma'am.

Ladies and gentlemen, as that was the last question for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

S
Sanjay Banka
executive

So no, we thank you all, and we are very happy and pleased to report our results. As we said, the EBITDA margin is stable. We continue to look at growth. We continue to look at all the KPIs, particularly return on equity and return on capital employed and are cognizant of our responsibility to give a superior return, which we will continue to work by calibrating the various business levers, financial, operational, customer as well.

So with that, a lot of time from our side and concluding comment from our MD.

S
Suvankar Sen
executive

Right. So thank you all for joining the call. Once again, to summarize that our quarter 4 numbers compared to the previous year's quarter 4 has remained very strong with the revenue up by 21%. The EBITDA went up by more than 44% on previous year's quarter to this year's quarter. And we have seen that with the increased diamond stud ratio, our margin for Q4 has also improved from 7.7% to 9.2%.

So therefore, I think that the importance in today's time is to stay and remain focused. We are aware of the various levers that will drive the business growth and the business profitability. And we are well conscious of the fact that in this increasing gold price, we need to create designs as per the need and the budget of the consumers, which we are very much doing and our sales team is engaging with the consumers. And as we enter this new financial year, we have shared you with our ideas, expectations, plans, and we are confident that we will achieve the numbers in top line and the bottom line with the effort that we are making.

So thank you very much and all the best.

Operator

Thank you, members of the management. On behalf of Antique Stock Broking, that concludes this conference. We thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.

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