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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one BA stock under the Base Case scenario is 188.35 USD. Compared to the current market price of 151.02 USD, Boeing Co is Undervalued by 20%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Boeing Co
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Fundamental Analysis
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Boeing Co., a titan in the aerospace industry, has been a cornerstone of aviation and defense for over a century. Founded in 1916, the company has evolved from a small airplane manufacturer to a global leader, known for producing commercial aircraft like the 737 and 787 Dreamliner, as well as advanced military systems and space exploration technologies. Boeing's commitment to innovation, coupled with its established customer base, positions it favorably in a dynamic market. However, investors should remain aware of the challenges the company has faced, including production delays, regulatory scrutiny, and the fallout from the 737 MAX incidents, which have significantly impacted its reputatio...
Boeing Co., a titan in the aerospace industry, has been a cornerstone of aviation and defense for over a century. Founded in 1916, the company has evolved from a small airplane manufacturer to a global leader, known for producing commercial aircraft like the 737 and 787 Dreamliner, as well as advanced military systems and space exploration technologies. Boeing's commitment to innovation, coupled with its established customer base, positions it favorably in a dynamic market. However, investors should remain aware of the challenges the company has faced, including production delays, regulatory scrutiny, and the fallout from the 737 MAX incidents, which have significantly impacted its reputation and financial performance.
Despite these hurdles, Boeing continues to rebound, leveraging a strong order backlog and growing demand for air travel as the world emerges from the pandemic. The company's strategic investments in sustainability, such as developing eco-friendly aircraft, highlight its responsiveness to market trends and environmental concerns. Moreover, Boeing's diversified portfolio, spanning defense, space, and commercial sectors, provides a buffer against volatility in aviation markets. For investors, Boeing represents not just a potential for recovery and growth but also an opportunity to be part of a crucial industry that shapes global transport and national security. With seasoned leadership and a return to operational stability, Boeing is poised to navigate its challenges and deliver long-term value to shareholders.
Boeing Co. operates through several core business segments, primarily focused on aerospace and defense. As of my last update, these are the main segments:
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Commercial Airplanes: This segment designs, manufactures, and sells commercial jetliners and provides related services. Boeing’s commercial aircraft range from single-aisle models, like the 737, to wide-body models, including the 787 Dreamliner and 777. This segment also encompasses aftermarket services for fleet maintenance and support.
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Defense, Space & Security: This division provides various military aircraft, satellite systems, and other defense and security solutions. Key products include fighter jets (such as the F-15 and F/A-18), rotorcraft (like the AH-64 Apache), and space systems (like the Space Launch System). It also includes services and solutions for government and commercial customers in the defense sector.
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Global Services: This segment focuses on providing services to commercial and defense customers throughout the entire lifecycle of aircraft and systems. Services include maintenance, support, training, and supply chain management. This segment aims to enhance operational efficiency and support the global fleet of Boeing aircraft.
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Boeing Capital Corporation: This is a wholly-owned subsidiary that provides financing solutions for Boeing's customers, including aircraft financing and capital for operating leases. This segment plays a critical role in facilitating aircraft deliveries and supporting customer needs.
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Advanced Technology: While not always highlighted as a standalone segment, Boeing invests in research and technology development to create innovative solutions and enhance future aircraft capabilities. This involves areas like autonomous systems, sustainable aviation fuels, and advanced manufacturing technologies.
These segments together enable Boeing to maintain its position as a leader in the global aerospace and defense industry while addressing a diverse range of customer needs and market demands.
Boeing Co possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the aerospace and defense industry:
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Scale and Market Presence: Boeing is one of the largest aerospace companies in the world, which provides significant economies of scale. Its vast production capacity and extensive supply chain networks allow it to respond efficiently to market demands.
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Brand Reputation and Heritage: With over a century in the industry, Boeing has established a strong brand reputation for quality, safety, and innovation. This legacy gives it an edge in securing contracts, particularly with government and defense entities.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: Boeing's wide array of products spans commercial airplanes, defense systems, space exploration, and services. This diversification enables the company to weather downturns in specific segments and capitalize on various growth opportunities.
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Investment in R&D: Boeing invests heavily in research and development, leading to innovations in aerospace technology, fuel efficiency, and safety features. This commitment helps Boeing maintain a competitive edge in a rapidly evolving industry.
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Strong Customer Relationships: Boeing has long-standing relationships with major airlines and governments, facilitating repeat business and increasing customer loyalty. The comprehensive support and services offered post-sale enhance these relationships further.
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Strategic Partnerships and Alliances: Collaborations with suppliers, technology firms, and governments provide Boeing access to new technologies and markets, expanding its competitive reach. Notable partnerships can enhance Boeing’s capabilities and market position.
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Global Reach: Boeing's presence in key international markets helps it capture demand globally and mitigate fluctuations in any single economy. The company's international manufacturing and assembly facilities also optimize its global supply chain management.
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Focus on Sustainability: Boeing is increasingly prioritizing sustainable aviation solutions, including developing more fuel-efficient planes and investing in eco-friendly technologies. This focus aligns with the growing demand for environmentally responsible practices in aviation.
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Defense and Space Competitive Position: Boeing's strong position in the defense and space sectors, supported by government contracts and innovations in military technology, helps stabilize revenue streams, particularly during periods of reduced commercial airline demand.
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Robust Financial Position: Historically, Boeing has maintained a solid financial position that allows it to invest in new projects, sustain operations during downturns, and leverage opportunities for growth, giving it an advantage over less financially robust competitors.
These competitive advantages enable Boeing to maintain a strong market position and navigate challenges effectively in the highly competitive aerospace industry.
Boeing Co faces several risks and challenges in the near future, including:
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Regulatory Scrutiny:
- Following the 737 MAX incidents, Boeing continues to face intense scrutiny from regulators, which could lead to increased compliance costs and delays in aircraft certification.
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Supply Chain Disruptions:
- Ongoing disruptions in the global supply chain, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, can affect production timelines, lead to higher costs, and impact delivery schedules.
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Market Competition:
- Intense competition from rivals like Airbus, as well as emerging players in the aerospace market, could pressure Boeing's market share and pricing strategies.
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Economic Volatility:
- Economic downturns can reduce airline profitability and lower demand for new aircraft. Global economic factors, including inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical tensions, could further impact airline operations.
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Technological Advances:
- The need to innovate and invest in new technologies, such as sustainable aviation, electric aircraft, and advanced manufacturing techniques, poses both opportunities and challenges.
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Defense Contracts and Government Spending:
- Boeing's defense business relies heavily on government contracts, making it susceptible to changes in defense budgets and political landscape. A shift toward prioritizing other defense vendors could affect its prospects.
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Environmental Regulations:
- Increasing pressure for sustainability and reducing carbon footprints could lead to more stringent regulations that Boeing must comply with, impacting production and operational costs.
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Labor Relations:
- Potential labor strikes or disputes can disrupt production and lead to increased costs. Relationships with labor unions remain a critical consideration for operational continuity.
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Reputation and Brand Trust:
- Continued recovery from the reputational damage following the 737 MAX crises is essential. Any further incidents or operational failures can significantly impact customer and investor trust.
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Geopolitical Factors:
- Trade tensions, tariffs, and international relations can affect Boeing's operations and sales, particularly in key markets like China and Europe.
Addressing these risks will require strategic planning, effective risk management, and a commitment to innovation and operational excellence within Boeing Co.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Boeing Co
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Boeing Co
Current Assets | 114.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 12.6B |
Receivables | 12.9B |
Other Current Assets | 88.9B |
Non-Current Assets | 28.3B |
Long-Term Investments | 1B |
PP&E | 11.3B |
Intangibles | 10.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 5.8B |
Current Liabilities | 96.6B |
Accounts Payable | 11.9B |
Accrued Liabilities | 21.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 62.9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 64.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 53.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 10.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Boeing Co
Revenue
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73.6B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-66.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
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7B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-8.8B
USD
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Operating Income
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-1.8B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-1.6B
USD
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Net Income
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-3.4B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Boeing Co
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Boeing reported $16.9 billion in revenue for Q2, driven by lower commercial delivery volumes, and a loss per share of $2.90. Free cash flow usage was $4.3 billion, reflecting softer performance and working capital impacts. Boeing's Commercial Airplane segment delivered 92 airplanes with a revenue of $6 billion but saw a negative operating margin primarily due to reduced deliveries and increased costs. Boeing took a $1 billion loss on fixed-price defense development programs. Looking ahead, Boeing expects improved cash flow and stability as production and deliveries ramp up. The company announced plans to acquire Spirit AeroSystems in a deal valued at $8.3 billion to enhance manufacturing and quality control.
What is Earnings Call?
BA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Boeing Co's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Boeing Co's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
BA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Boeing Co's solvency score is 48/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Boeing Co's solvency score is 48/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
BA Price Targets Summary
Boeing Co
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BA is 216 USD with a low forecast of 120.19 USD and a high forecast of 288.75 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for BA is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
BA Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
The Boeing Co. is an aerospace company, which engages in the manufacture of commercial jetliners and defense, space, and security systems. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois and currently employs 142,000 full-time employees. The firm's segments include Commercial Airplanes (BCA), Defense, Space & Security (BDS), Global Services (BGS) and Boeing Capital (BCC). Its BCA segment develops, produces and markets commercial jet aircraft and provides fleet support services, principally to the commercial airline industry. Its commercial jet aircraft in production includes the 737 narrow-body model and the 747, 767, 777 and 787 wide-body models. Its BDS segment is engaged in the research, development, production and modification of manned and unmanned military aircraft and weapons systems for strike, surveillance and mobility. Its primary products include the fixed-wing military aircraft, such as F/A-18E/F Super Hornet, F-15 programs, P-8 programs, KC-46A Tanker and T-7A Red Hawk. Its BGS segment provides services to commercial and defense customers. BCC segment facilitates, arranges, structures and provides selective financing solutions for its customers.
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The intrinsic value of one BA stock under the Base Case scenario is 188.35 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 151.02 USD, Boeing Co is Undervalued by 20%.