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Johnson & Johnson
NYSE:JNJ

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Johnson & Johnson
NYSE:JNJ
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Price: 150.76 USD 0.71%
Updated: Jul 12, 2024
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Jul 12, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one JNJ stock is 134.62 USD. Compared to the current market price of 150.76 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 11%.

JNJ DCF Value
Base Case
134.62 USD
Overvaluation 11%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
134.62
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 134.62 USD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 107.2B USD. The present value of the terminal value is 217.5B USD. The total present value equals 324.7B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 324.7B USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 7.2B USD
+ Investments 23.5B USD
Firm Value 355.4B USD
- Debt 31.4B USD
Equity Value 324B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 2.4B
JNJ DCF Value 134.62 USD
Overvalued by 11%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
90.5B 102.9B
Operating Income
29.1B 33B
FCFF
26.7B 26.9B

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one JNJ stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one JNJ stock is 134.62 USD. Compared to the current market price of 150.76 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 11%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Johnson & Johnson's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 324.7B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 134.62 USD per share.

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