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Oracle Corp
NYSE:ORCL

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Oracle Corp
NYSE:ORCL
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Price: 144.64 USD 2.36% Market Closed
Updated: Jun 19, 2024
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Jun 19, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one ORCL stock is 105.75 USD. Compared to the current market price of 144.64 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 27%.

ORCL DCF Value
Base Case
105.75 USD
Overvaluation 27%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
105.75
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 105.75 USD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 85.8B USD. The present value of the terminal value is 204.8B USD. The total present value equals 290.6B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Show All DCF Settings
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 290.6B USD
Equity Value 290.6B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 2.7B
ORCL DCF Value 105.75 USD
Overvalued by 27%

You are using the equity valuation model. In this approach, further calculations for converting firm value to equity value are not required. The present value, obtained in the present value calculation block, already represents the equity value.

The DCF value per share is derived by dividing the present value by the number of shares:

Present Value
290.6B USD
/
Number of Shares
2.7B
=
DCF Value
105.75 USD

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
59B 90.2B
Net Income
17.4B 27.5B

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one ORCL stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one ORCL stock is 105.75 USD. Compared to the current market price of 144.64 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 27%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Oracle Corp's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 290.6B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 105.75 USD per share.

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