Tillys Inc
NYSE:TLYS
Intrinsic Value
Tilly's, Inc. engages in the retail of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one TLYS stock under the Base Case scenario is 6.56 USD. Compared to the current market price of 6.8 USD, Tillys Inc is Overvalued by 3%.
Valuation Backtest
Tillys Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Company Projects Q1 Loss Amid Sales Decline
2024-Q4 Earnings Call
The company finished the fiscal year with $95 million in cash, down from $113 million, and no debt. Inventory costs rose 2.6% per square foot but were down 9.6% on a comparable basis due to delivery timing. Capital expenditures were $14 million, down from $15.1 million. For Q1 2024, net sales decreased 13.4%, with forecasted sales between $109 million to $119 million, indicating a 7% to 14% decline compared to last year. SG&A expenses are expected at $42 million to $43 million, contributing to an anticipated pretax loss of $17 million to $22 million. Loss per share is projected to be $0.42 to $0.54. On a non-GAAP basis, the net loss outperformed the revised outlook given at the Annual ICR Conference, at $5.2 million.
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Tillys Inc
Current Assets | 195.6m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 93.9m |
Receivables | 7.1m |
Other Current Assets | 94.6m |
Non-Current Assets | 280.3m |
PP&E | 265.4m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 14.9m |
Current Liabilities | 119.3m |
Accounts Payable | 27m |
Accrued Liabilities | 78.4m |
Other Current Liabilities | 13.9m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 191.9m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 191.9m |
Earnings Waterfall
Tillys Inc
Revenue
|
630.5m
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-459.2m
USD
|
Gross Profit
|
171.3m
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-192.6m
USD
|
Operating Income
|
-21.3m
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
7.3m
USD
|
Net Income
|
-14m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Tillys Inc
What is Free Cash Flow?
TLYS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Tillys Inc's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Tillys Inc's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TLYS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Tillys Inc's solvency score is 55/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Tillys Inc's solvency score is 55/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TLYS Price Targets Summary
Tillys Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TLYS is 8.8 USD with a low forecast of 8.59 USD and a high forecast of 9.19 USD.
Ownership
TLYS Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Shareholder Return
TLYS Price
Tillys Inc
Average Annual Return | 16.29% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 74.44% |
Max Drawdown | -68% |
Market Capitalization | 202.9m USD |
Shares Outstanding | 29 970 000 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted | 3.05% |
TLYS News
Last Important Events
Tillys Inc
Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.
Sentiment Analysis
Tillys Inc
Company Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Tilly's, Inc. engages in the retail of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories. The company is headquartered in Irvine, California and currently employs 1,450 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2012-05-04. The firm operates approximately 241 stores, in 33 states. Its stores are located in malls, lifestyle centers, power centers, community centers, outlet centers and street-front locations. The firm also offers online shopping, where it offers same products as offers in stores, supplemented by additional online-only styles. The firm's third-party brands include Adidas, BDG, Billabong, Birkenstock, Brixton, Champion, Converse, Diamond Supply, Dickies, Dr. Martens, Ethika, Free People, G-Shock, Herschel Supply Co., HUF, Hurley, Hydro Flask, Jansport, Levi's, Neff, Nike SB, O'Neill, Obey, Primitive, RayBan, Riot Society, Rip Curl, Roxy, RVCA, Salty Crew, Santa Cruz, Spy, Stance, The North Face, Vans and Volcom. The company sells its products through e-commerce Website, www.tillys.com.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one TLYS stock under the Base Case scenario is 6.56 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 6.8 USD, Tillys Inc is Overvalued by 3%.