TWLO Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Twilio Inc - Alpha Spread

Twilio Inc
NYSE:TWLO

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Twilio Inc
NYSE:TWLO
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Price: 58.1 USD -5.3% Market Closed
Market Cap: 9.9B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one TWLO stock under the Base Case scenario is 61.64 USD. Compared to the current market price of 58.1 USD, Twilio Inc is Undervalued by 6%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

TWLO Intrinsic Value
61.64 USD
Undervaluation 6%
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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Twilio Inc. is a cloud communications platform that has carved out a crucial niche in the digital transformation landscape, enabling businesses to connect with their customers seamlessly through various channels such as voice, SMS, and video. Founded in 2008 by Jeff Lawson and a team of innovative thinkers, Twilio empowers developers and enterprises to create engaging customer experiences by providing an easy-to-use application programming interface (API). Their technology facilitates interactions that are increasingly important in today’s digital world, allowing users—from fledgling startups to Fortune 500 companies—to build customized communication solutions that enhance customer engagemen...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Twilio Inc

Current Assets 4B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 3.1B
Receivables 537.3m
Other Current Assets 310.3m
Non-Current Assets 6.5B
Long-Term Investments 541.1m
PP&E 262.5m
Intangibles 5.5B
Other Non-Current Assets 203.8m
Current Liabilities 711.5m
Accounts Payable 61.8m
Accrued Liabilities 493.5m
Other Current Liabilities 156.2m
Non-Current Liabilities 1.1B
Long-Term Debt 994.7m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 122m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Twilio Inc

Revenue
4.2B USD
Cost of Revenue
-2.1B USD
Gross Profit
2.1B USD
Operating Expenses
-2.4B USD
Operating Income
-205.3m USD
Other Expenses
-389.1m USD
Net Income
-594.3m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Twilio Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Twilio reported a strong second quarter, exceeding expectations with $1.1 billion in revenue and $175 million in non-GAAP income from operations, a 46% year-over-year increase. The company generated nearly $200 million in free cash flow and continues to drive growth in its Communications and Segment businesses. Guidance for Q3 includes revenue of $1.085 billion to $1.095 billion and non-GAAP income from operations of $160 million to $170 million. Full-year guidance was raised to $650 million to $675 million for non-GAAP income from operations, with expected organic revenue growth of 6% to 7%.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

TWLO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Twilio Inc's profitability score is 39/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
ROIC is Increasing
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
39/100
Profitability
Score

Twilio Inc's profitability score is 39/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

TWLO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Twilio Inc's solvency score is 75/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Low D/E
Negative Net Debt
75/100
Solvency
Score

Twilio Inc's solvency score is 75/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

TWLO Price Targets Summary
Twilio Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast TWLO stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TWLO is 69.7 USD with a low forecast of 50.5 USD and a high forecast of 115.5 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
50.5 USD
13% Downside
Average
Price Target
69.7 USD
20% Upside
Highest
Price Target
115.5 USD
99% Upside
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for TWLO is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
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TWLO Price
Twilio Inc

1M 1M
-4%
6M 6M
-6%
1Y 1Y
-11%
3Y 3Y
-84%
5Y 5Y
-48%
10Y 10Y
+102%
Annual Price Range
58.1
52w Low
50.19
52w High
77.85
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 28.55%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 134.33%
Max Drawdown -90%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 9.5B USD
Shares Outstanding 171 170 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 1.82%

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

TWLO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

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Profile

Twilio Inc Logo
Twilio Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Technology

Market Cap

9.5B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Twilio, Inc. engages in the development of communications software, cloud-based platform, and services. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California and currently employs 8,510 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2016-06-23. The firm offers a customer engagement platform with software designed to address specific use cases, like account security and contact centers, and a set of Application Programming Interfaces (APIs). The company also offers a set of APIs that enable developers to embed voice, messaging, video and email capabilities into their applications, and are designed to support all the fundamental ways humans communicate to address any communication market. The Super Network is its software layer that allows its customers' software to communicate with connected devices globally. The company interconnects with communications networks and inbox service providers around the world. The Super Network also contains a set of APIs giving its customers access to foundational components of its platform, like phone numbers and session initiation protocol Trunking.

Contact

CALIFORNIA
San Francisco
101 Spear Street, First Floor
+14153902337.0
www.twilio.com

IPO

2016-06-23

Employees

8 510

Officers

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one TWLO stock?

The intrinsic value of one TWLO stock under the Base Case scenario is 61.64 USD.

Is TWLO stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 58.1 USD, Twilio Inc is Undervalued by 6%.

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