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Shanghai Huafon Aluminium Corp
SSE:601702

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Shanghai Huafon Aluminium Corp
SSE:601702
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Price: 18.17 CNY 3.65% Market Closed
Updated: Jul 18, 2024
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on May 23, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one 601702 stock is 22.74 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 18.17 CNY, the stock is Undervalued by 20%.

DCF Value
Base Case
22.74 CNY
Undervaluation 20%
DCF Value
Price
S
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
22.74
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 22.74 CNY

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 5.9B CNY. The present value of the terminal value is 17.9B CNY. The total present value equals 23.8B CNY.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 23.8B CNY
+ Cash & Equivalents 397.9m CNY
Firm Value 24.2B CNY
- Debt 1.5B CNY
- Minority Interest 46.8k CNY
Equity Value 22.7B CNY
/ Shares Outstanding 998.5m
601702 DCF Value 22.74 CNY
Undervalued by 20%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
12.9B 23.4B
Operating Income
1.4B 2.8B
FCFF
1B 1.7B

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one 601702 stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one 601702 stock is 22.74 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 18.17 CNY, the stock is Undervalued by 20%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Shanghai Huafon Aluminium Corp's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 23.8B CNY.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 22.74 CNY per share.

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