Slate Grocery REIT
TSX:SGR.UN

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Slate Grocery REIT
TSX:SGR.UN
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Price: 14.95 CAD 1.08% Market Closed
Market Cap: 884.3m CAD

Q3-2025 Earnings Call

AI Summary
Earnings Call on Nov 6, 2025

Leasing Momentum: Slate Grocery REIT completed over 417,000 square feet of leasing in Q3, with renewal deals at 15% above expiring rents and new leases at 35% above average in-place rent.

Occupancy: Portfolio occupancy remained stable at 94%, supported by continued leasing activity across junior anchor and small shop spaces.

Organic Growth: Same-property net operating income increased by $4.3 million or 2.7% on a trailing 12-month basis; management expects 3% to 4% organic growth to continue into 2026.

Rent Growth Opportunity: In-place rents of $12.82 per square foot remain well below the $24.09 market average, providing further runway for increases.

Debt & Leverage: Over 90% of the REIT's debt is fixed at a 5% average interest rate, with about 200 basis points of positive leverage between cap rate and financing costs.

Market Conditions: Management highlighted resilient demand for grocery-anchored retail, tight new supply, and a strong transaction pipeline, expecting continued stability and value growth.

Leasing & Occupancy

The REIT reported robust leasing activity, completing over 417,000 square feet of leases in the quarter. Renewal leases were signed at 15% above expiring rents, and new deals were completed at 35% above comparable average in-place rent. Portfolio occupancy remained stable at 94%, with ongoing leasing across both junior anchor and small shop spaces. Management indicated continued momentum in reducing vacancies and maintaining high occupancy.

Organic Growth & NOI

Same-property net operating income (NOI) increased by $4.3 million or 2.7% on a trailing 12-month basis. Management expects this organic growth rate of roughly 3% to 4% to continue into 2026, driven by rental rate increases as older leases expire and are renewed at higher rates.

Rent Growth & Mark-to-Market

In-place rents average $12.82 per square foot, which is significantly below the current market average of $24.09 per square foot. Management highlighted this rent gap as a major opportunity to drive future revenue growth, as both in-place and market rents are rising. This mark-to-market dynamic is expected to support further rent increases over time.

Debt Structure & Leverage

Over 90% of the REIT's debt is fixed, with a weighted average interest rate of 5%. The weighted average capitalization rate is well above the interest rate, resulting in about 200 basis points of positive leverage. Management emphasized this stable financing position as a key advantage in the current environment.

Market Environment & Transaction Pipeline

Management described the grocery-anchored sector as resilient, citing strong consumer demand for essential goods and favorable market fundamentals. Elevated construction costs and tight lending are limiting new retail development, supporting landlord pricing power. The REIT sees a pipeline of acquisition opportunities in the billions and expects transaction volumes to increase as more deals become financially attractive.

Portfolio Valuation

The company stated comfort with its IFRS cap rates and believes peers and market transactions are converging toward similar levels. The positive spread between cap rates and financing costs is expected to help drive portfolio value growth over time.

Total Leasing Completed
417,000 sq ft
No Additional Information
Renewal Rental Spread
15% above expiring rents
No Additional Information
New Lease Rental Spread
35% above comparable average in-place rent
No Additional Information
Same-Property Net Operating Income
$4.3M increase
Change: Up 2.7% on a trailing 12-month basis.
Guidance: Expected to grow 3% to 4% in 2026.
Portfolio Occupancy
94%
Change: Remained stable.
Average In-Place Rent
$12.82 per sq ft
No Additional Information
Market Average Rent
$24.09 per sq ft
Change: Increasing.
Weighted Average Interest Rate
5%
No Additional Information
Proportion of Debt Fixed
over 90%
No Additional Information
Positive Leverage (Cap Rate vs. Financing Cost)
200 bps
No Additional Information
Total Leasing Completed
417,000 sq ft
No Additional Information
Renewal Rental Spread
15% above expiring rents
No Additional Information
New Lease Rental Spread
35% above comparable average in-place rent
No Additional Information
Same-Property Net Operating Income
$4.3M increase
Change: Up 2.7% on a trailing 12-month basis.
Guidance: Expected to grow 3% to 4% in 2026.
Portfolio Occupancy
94%
Change: Remained stable.
Average In-Place Rent
$12.82 per sq ft
No Additional Information
Market Average Rent
$24.09 per sq ft
Change: Increasing.
Weighted Average Interest Rate
5%
No Additional Information
Proportion of Debt Fixed
over 90%
No Additional Information
Positive Leverage (Cap Rate vs. Financing Cost)
200 bps
No Additional Information

Earnings Call Transcript

Transcript
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Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Slate Grocery REIT Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] This call is being recorded on Thursday, November 6, 2025.

I would now like to turn the conference over to Shivi Agarwal, Manager of Finance at Slate Grocery REIT. Please go ahead.

S
Shivi Agarwal
executive

Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to the Q3 2025 Conference Call for Slate Grocery REIT. I'm joined this morning by Blair Welch, Chief Executive Officer; Joe Pleckaitis, Chief Financial Officer; Connor O'Brien, Managing Director; Allen Gordon, Senior Vice President; Braden Lyons, Vice President.

Before getting started, I would like to remind participants that our discussion today may contain forward-looking statements. And therefore, we ask you to review the disclaimers regarding forward-looking statements as well as non-IFRS measures, both of which can be found in Management's Discussion and Analysis. You can visit Slate Grocery REIT's website to access all of the REIT's financial disclosure, including our Q3 2025 investor update, which is available now.

I will now hand over the call to Blair Welch for opening remarks.

B
Blair Welch
executive

Thank you, Shivi, and hello, everyone. We are pleased to report another quarter of strong financial and operating results for Slate Grocery REIT. Our team continues to convert resilient demand for grocery-anchored retail spaces into robust leasing at attractive rental spreads.

The REIT completed over 417,000 square feet of total leasing throughout the quarter. Renewal spreads were completed at 15% above expiring rents and new deals were completed at 35% above comparable average in-place rent.

Adjusting for completed redevelopments, same-property net operating income increased by $4.3 million or 2.7% on a trailing 12-month basis. Portfolio occupancy remained stable at 94%. And our portfolio's average in-place rent of $12.82 per square foot remains well below the market average of $24.09 per square foot, providing significant runway for continued rent increases.

The REIT has a weighted average interest rate of 5%, with over 90% of its debt having a fixed interest rate on a proportionate basis. This provides a stable outlook for the REIT's near-term financing costs. The REIT's weighted average capitalization rate remains well above the REIT's weighted average interest rate for outstanding debt allowing the REIT to maintain positive leverage. The REIT's attract evaluation combined with continued net operating income growth, is expected to continue increasing the value of our portfolio over time.

We continue to have strong conviction in the outlook for grocery-anchored real estate and the ability of this asset class to perform in today's economic environment. Recent consumer spending data shows that the essential goods are expected to remain a top priority for shoppers over the next 3 months, underscoring the stability and resilience of the grocery sector and grocery-anchored real estate.

At the same time, fundamentals remain favorable with elevated construction costs and tight lending conditions continuing to constrain new retail development and overall availability. This dynamic creates a favorable environment for landlords to retain existing tenants and achieved meaningful increases in rents as leases expire.

Against this backdrop, we are seeing focus on operational execution, prudent management of our balance sheet and strong relationships with our tenants to position the REIT to deliver sustained growth and lasting value for all unitholders.

On behalf of the Slate Grocery team and the Board, I would like to thank the investor community for all their continued confidence and support.

I will now hand it over for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Brad Sturges at Raymond James.

B
Bradley Sturges
analyst

Good quarter. Obviously, the organic growth number has been trending where you expected. I think your trailing 12 months, I think you said you were 3% to 4%. Is that a level that you expect to continue -- to see continue over the course of 2026?

B
Blair Welch
executive

Yes, it is. I think that the moves into it are really due to expiring leases when they come on, but that sort of 3% to 4% is what we expect going forward.

B
Bradley Sturges
analyst

Okay. And what are you seeing from like a market rent perspective? Obviously, you continue to highlight and showcase the mark-to-market available as you're able to bring in-place rents to market. But I guess what's happening from a market rent perspective?

B
Blair Welch
executive

Yes. Great question. I think the easiest way to point to something is we quote the -- it's just over $24 per square foot now the CBRE market average. That is increasing at the same or maybe above our in-place rents. So I would say our rental growth is very strong and the market is also growing. So I think that's -- those are both positive things.

B
Bradley Sturges
analyst

Okay. And last question for me. Just maybe switching gears towards the investment or transaction market, any read-throughs in terms of pricing you're seeing as it relates to Slate Grocery's underlying NAV or valuation? Are there more trades starting to percolate or -- how should we think about that?

B
Blair Welch
executive

Yes. I would say we feel very comfortable with our IFRS cap rates, and I think we've been prudent on that. And then I think the rest of the market is kind of coming to a place where the execution where you have to do deals has moved up. I think that's what that transaction volume has been needed.

So I think it's really more situational. We are looking at the pipeline of new acquisition opportunities in the billions, and that could be a platform, that could be one-off deals. But I think it really speaks to positive leverage. And if you think of Slate Grocery REIT's balance sheet, we're around 200 basis points of positive leverage from our IFRS cap rate to our weighted average cost of financing. And I think that's pretty attractive.

So I think if we continue to see that with our peers and where transactions are, I think you'll see that volume pick up. And I think the U.S. market is getting -- I think if you look at other international jurisdictions, Europe is also a positive leverage situation. I think Canada is getting there, but maybe not there yet, but that's really how we look at the market. And the fundamentals of grocery-anchored real estate are extremely strong. So if you can buy an asset that's performing well and finance it well, I think that will show more volume in transactions.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Golden Nguyen-Halfyard, at TD Cowen.

G
Golden Nguyen-Halfyard
analyst

Just 1 question from my end. Nice to see occupancy move up a little bit in Q3. Can you talk a little bit about your progress on some of the vacancies that you had earlier in the year?

B
Blair Welch
executive

Yes, Golden, I'll pass it over to the team to talk about specific occupancy. But thanks for the questions.

A
Allen Gordon
executive

Yes. This is Allen. We continue to see a strong pipeline of new deals throughout the portfolio, both on junior anchor leasing and small shop leasing. And continue -- as you've seen, continue to do deals in both.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And at this time, we have no further questions. I'd like to turn it back over to Shivi Agarwal for closing remarks.

S
Shivi Agarwal
executive

Thank you, everyone, for joining the Q3 2025 Conference Call for Slate Grocery REIT. Have a great day.

Operator

Thank you, everyone, for attending. This does conclude today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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