` Comparison: 2057, 002352 - Alpha Spread

2057
vs
002352

Over the past 12 months, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc has underperformed S.F. Holding Co Ltd, delivering a return of -13% compared to the S.F. Holding Co Ltd's +9% growth.

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2057
002352
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
We need a little more time to summarize the results

Valuation Comparison

Intrinsic Value
184.65 HKD
Undervaluation 20%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Intrinsic Value
71.44 CNY
Undervaluation 42%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
HKEX:2057
147.5 HKD
S.F. Holding Co Ltd
SZSE:002352
41.08 CNY
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
2057, 002352

2057
002352
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
Revenue
S.F. Holding Co Ltd
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
2057, 002352

2057
002352
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
HKEX:2057
S.F. Holding Co Ltd
SZSE:002352
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
27.5%
S.F. Holding Co Ltd
13.4%

Operating Margin

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
24.1%
S.F. Holding Co Ltd
5.2%

Net Margin

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
18.8%
S.F. Holding Co Ltd
3.7%

FCF Margin

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
22.6%
S.F. Holding Co Ltd
7.8%

ROE

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
14%
S.F. Holding Co Ltd
12.1%

ROA

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
9.4%
S.F. Holding Co Ltd
5.1%

ROIC

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
12.7%
S.F. Holding Co Ltd
8.3%

ROCE

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
16.5%
S.F. Holding Co Ltd
10.7%

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
2057, 002352

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2057
002352
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Performance Gap
2057, 002352

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2057
002352
Difference
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Performance By Year
2057, 002352

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2057
002352
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