` Comparison: 2057, UPS - Alpha Spread

2057
vs
UPS

Over the past 12 months, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc has significantly outperformed UPS, delivering a return of +4% compared to the UPS's 29% drop.

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2057
UPS
One-click summary across all key metrics.
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One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
No spreadsheets, no guesswork.
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
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Valuation Comparison

Intrinsic Value
204.44 HKD
Undervaluation 21%
Intrinsic Value
Price
UPS Intrinsic Value
122 USD
Undervaluation 29%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
HKEX:2057
161.7 HKD
United Parcel Service Inc
NYSE:UPS
86.67 USD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
2057, UPS

2057
UPS
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
Revenue
United Parcel Service Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
2057, UPS

2057
UPS
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
HKEX:2057
United Parcel Service Inc
NYSE:UPS
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
29.7%
UPS
81.6%

Operating Margin

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
26.4%
UPS
9.3%

Net Margin

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
20.8%
UPS
6.3%

FCF Margin

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
26%
UPS
3.9%

ROE

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
15.6%
UPS
35%

ROA

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
10.3%
UPS
8.2%

ROIC

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
13.6%
UPS
11.5%

ROCE

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
18.2%
UPS
15.1%

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
2057, UPS

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Performance Gap
2057, UPS

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2057
UPS
Difference
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Performance By Year
2057, UPS

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2057
UPS
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