Costco Wholesale Corp
BMV:COST

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Costco Wholesale Corp Logo
Costco Wholesale Corp
BMV:COST
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Price: 16 491.0703 MXN 3.91% Market Closed
Market Cap: 378.5B MXN

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Jan 9, 2026.

Estimated DCF Value of one COST stock is 155 341.3656 MXN. Compared to the current market price of 16 491.0703 MXN, the stock is Undervalued by 89%.

COST DCF Value
Base Case
155 341.3656 MXN
Undervaluation 89%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
155 341.3656
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 155 341.3656 MXN

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 48.7B USD. The present value of the terminal value is 138.2B USD. The total present value equals 186.9B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Show All DCF Settings
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 186.9B USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 16.2B USD
+ Investments 966m USD
Firm Value 204.1B USD
- Debt 5.7B USD
Equity Value 198.4B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 23m
Value per Share 8 645.4455 USD
USD / MXN Exchange Rate 17.968
COST DCF Value 155 341.3656 MXN
Undervalued by 89%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
307.7B 404.5B
Operating Income
12B 17.2B
FCFF
10B 14.4B

What is the DCF value of one COST stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one COST stock is 155 341.3656 MXN. Compared to the current market price of 16 491.0703 MXN, the stock is Undervalued by 89%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Costco Wholesale Corp's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 186.9B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 155 341.3656 MXN per share.

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