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NYSE:AES
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AES stock under the Base Case scenario is 31.1 USD. Compared to the current market price of 15.51 USD, AES Corp is Undervalued by 50%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
AES Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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AES Corp. is a global power company that has positioned itself as a leader in the energy transition, focusing on delivering sustainable electricity solutions across various markets. Founded in 1981, AES operates in over 15 countries, generating power from a diverse portfolio that includes natural gas, renewables, and battery storage technologies. The company is committed to accelerating the shift toward cleaner energy sources, with ambitious plans to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2040. This strategic focus on renewable energy platforms and innovative energy storage systems not only aligns with global environmental goals but also opens new opportunities for growth and robust re...
AES Corp. is a global power company that has positioned itself as a leader in the energy transition, focusing on delivering sustainable electricity solutions across various markets. Founded in 1981, AES operates in over 15 countries, generating power from a diverse portfolio that includes natural gas, renewables, and battery storage technologies. The company is committed to accelerating the shift toward cleaner energy sources, with ambitious plans to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2040. This strategic focus on renewable energy platforms and innovative energy storage systems not only aligns with global environmental goals but also opens new opportunities for growth and robust returns for investors as the world moves toward decarbonization.
As an attractive investment option, AES Corp. stands out due to its strong financial performance and commitment to stakeholder value. With a track record of consistent dividend payments and a disciplined approach to capital allocation, the company offers investors a reliable income stream alongside growth potential. AES is actively investing in expanding its renewable energy capacity, which is expected to drive future revenues and align with the increasing demand for sustainable energy solutions. As governments and consumers worldwide prioritize clean energy, AES Corp.'s proactive strategy positions it at the forefront of the energy market transformation, promising not just resilience but also long-term profitability for discerning investors.
AES Corporation operates in the energy sector with a focus on generation and distribution of electricity. Its core business segments include:
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North America: This segment includes a variety of generation assets, such as natural gas, coal, and renewables. AES operates in several U.S. states and provinces, focusing on reliable energy solutions and expanding its renewable energy footprint.
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Latin America and the Caribbean: AES has a significant presence in the power markets of countries like Guatemala, El Salvador, and the Dominican Republic. This segment focuses on both thermal and renewable energy generation, catering to the growing demand for electricity in these emerging markets.
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Renewable Energy: This segment emphasizes investments and operations in renewable energy sources, particularly solar and wind. AES is committed to sustainability and targets the transition towards cleaner energy solutions across its global operations.
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Utility Distribution: AES owns utility companies responsible for the distribution of electricity to consumers. This includes urban and rural distribution networks, ensuring reliable service and access to electricity for its customer base.
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Energy Storage: AES has been expanding its capabilities in energy storage, which is critical for integrating renewable energy sources. This segment focuses on battery storage solutions to enhance grid reliability and optimize the delivery of renewable energy.
By strategically diversifying across these segments, AES Corporation aims to address energy needs while transitioning towards a more sustainable energy future. The company's commitment to innovation and efficiency positions it as a competitive player in the global energy market.
AES Corp, a global power company, benefits from several unique competitive advantages that help it maintain a strong position in the energy sector:
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Diverse Portfolio: AES operates a diverse mix of energy generation assets, including renewable energy (solar, wind, hydro, and biomass), natural gas, and coal. This diversification helps manage risk and respond to market changes and regulatory requirements.
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Global Presence: With operations in multiple countries and regions, AES Corp has a well-established international footprint. This allows the company to tap into different markets, balancing risks across geographies and benefiting from varying regulatory environments.
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Focus on Renewable Energy: AES has made significant investments in renewable energy resources, aiming to transition to a cleaner energy future. This commitment positions the company favorably amidst the global shift towards sustainability and the increasing demand for green energy solutions.
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Strong Operational Expertise: AES has developed significant operational experience over the years, allowing it to optimize asset performance, enhance efficiencies, and drive down costs. This expertise is crucial in managing complex energy systems and maintaining regulatory compliance.
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Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: AES has formed strategic alliances and completed acquisitions that enhance its capabilities and expand its market presence. These partnerships often accelerate the development of renewable projects and optimize resource utilization.
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Innovative Technologies: The company invests in cutting-edge technologies, such as energy storage solutions and smart grid innovations. This not only improves reliability and reduces costs but also positions AES as an industry leader in adopting new technologies.
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Strong Financial Position: AES has a robust financial framework, which allows for continued investment in growth opportunities and mitigating financial risks. Strong credit ratings can also lower borrowing costs for expansions and projects.
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Regulatory Relations: AES maintains positive relationships with regulatory bodies, which can help the company navigate complex regulatory landscapes and secure necessary permits for new projects.
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Customer-Centric Approach: The company focuses on delivering value to its customers through reliability, sustainability, and innovative solutions tailored to meet the evolving needs of consumers and businesses.
These competitive advantages collectively strengthen AES Corp's market position, allowing the company to adapt to changes in the energy landscape more effectively than its rivals.
AES Corp, as a global power company specializing in renewable and traditional energy sources, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Regulatory Changes: The energy sector is heavily regulated, and changes in government policies related to energy production, emissions, and renewable energy credits can significantly impact AES’s operations and profitability.
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Market Competition: The rise of new entrants in the renewable energy space, as well as existing competitors ramping up their capabilities, can lead to increased competition. This may pressure pricing and reduce margins.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid technological changes in energy generation, storage, and efficiency can outdate AES's existing assets and offerings. Staying ahead requires continual investment in research and development and innovation.
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Commodity Price Volatility: Fluctuations in fuel prices (such as natural gas and coal) can affect operating costs and profitability for AES’s traditional power generation assets.
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Environmental Risks: Natural disasters, climate change, and environmental regulations can impact operations and asset reliability. AES must prepare for the physical risks associated with climate change, including extreme weather events.
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Capital Expenditure Requirements: Transitioning to cleaner energy sources requires significant capital investment. Securing financing under favorable terms can be a challenge, especially in a rising interest rate environment.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The global supply chain issues could delay projects or increase costs, particularly in the context of renewable technologies where specific components are essential.
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Social and Political Factors: Local opposition to energy projects, geopolitical tensions, and changes in social sentiment regarding energy sources can impact project development and execution.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a utility provider, AES faces risks related to cyberattacks that could disrupt operations and compromise sensitive data.
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Energy Transition Dynamics: The shift toward decarbonization and renewable sources poses both opportunities and challenges. AES must navigate this transition effectively to remain competitive.
Mitigating these risks will require strategic planning, investment in technology and infrastructure, engagement with regulatory bodies, and fostering a proactive approach to stakeholder relations.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
AES Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
AES Corp
Current Assets | 10.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2B |
Receivables | 1.9B |
Other Current Assets | 6.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 39.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.2B |
PP&E | 32.4B |
Intangibles | 2.3B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 3.8B |
Current Liabilities | 12.4B |
Accounts Payable | 2B |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.8B |
Other Current Liabilities | 8.6B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 34.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 24.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 9.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
AES Corp
Revenue
|
12.3B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-9.9B
USD
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Gross Profit
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2.4B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-224m
USD
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Operating Income
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2.2B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-1.1B
USD
|
Net Income
|
1B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
AES Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
AES Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
AES Corp's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
AES Corp's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AES Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
AES Corp's solvency score is 17/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
AES Corp's solvency score is 17/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AES Price Targets Summary
AES Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AES is 23.16 USD with a low forecast of 20.2 USD and a high forecast of 26.25 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AES is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
AES Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
AES Corp. engages in the provision of power generation and utility services through its renewable and thermal generation facilities and distribution businesses. The company is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia and currently employs 8,450 full-time employees. The firm provides sustainable energy through its diverse portfolio of thermal and renewable generation facilities and distribution businesses. The company is organized into four market-oriented Strategic Business Units (SBUs): US and Utilities (United States, Puerto Rico and El Salvador); South America (Chile, Colombia, Argentina and Brazil); MCAC (Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean), and Eurasia (Europe and Asia). AES has two primary lines of business: generation and utilities. The generation line of business uses a range of fuels and technologies to generate electricity, such as coal, gas, hydro, wind, solar, and biomass. Its utilities business comprises businesses that transmit, distribute, and in certain circumstances, generate power. In addition, the Company has operations in the renewables area, which includes projects primarily in wind, solar, and energy storage.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one AES stock under the Base Case scenario is 31.1 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 15.51 USD, AES Corp is Undervalued by 50%.