Arthur J Gallagher & Co
NYSE:AJG
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Arthur J Gallagher & Co
NYSE:AJG
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US |
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S
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Sopra Steria Group SA
SWB:OR8
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FR |
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of Arthur J Gallagher & Co (AJG) under the Base Case is 185.29 USD per share.
Compared with the current market price of 277.12 USD, the stock appears
Overvalued by 33% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes Arthur J Gallagher's net margin jumps to 20% in 2026, then fades to 16% by 2036, still above its recent high. If its margin stayed at its five-year average of 11%, the estimate would be about $105.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Arthur J Gallagher Does
Arthur J. Gallagher is an insurance brokerage and risk-management company. It helps businesses, governments, and individuals buy insurance coverage, assess risks, and handle claims and employee benefits. Instead of taking on most of the insurance risk itself, Gallagher mainly acts as a middleman and adviser, matching customers with insurers and helping them manage the policies they need.
- Headquarters
- United States of America US
- Employees
- 39 000
- IPO date
- Jun 21, 1984
Arthur J Gallagher & has a narrow economic moat
Replacing a provider that already understands a customer's insurance needs and handles ongoing claims takes time and risks disrupting service. Our assessment is that this gives Gallagher lasting protection, especially with complex business accounts and claims administration, without preventing customers from choosing another provider.
Read the full moat analysis
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Arthur J Gallagher & Co
Earnings Waterfall
Arthur J Gallagher & Co
The intrinsic value for Arthur J Gallagher & Co (AJG) under the Base Case is 185.29 USD.
Compared with the current market price of 277.12 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 33% .