CPNG Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Coupang Inc - Alpha Spread

Coupang Inc
NYSE:CPNG

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Coupang Inc
NYSE:CPNG
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Price: 25.7 USD 0.67% Market Closed
Market Cap: 46.1B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one CPNG stock under the Base Case scenario is 19.77 USD. Compared to the current market price of 25.7 USD, Coupang Inc is Overvalued by 23%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CPNG Intrinsic Value
19.77 USD
Overvaluation 23%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
Best Case

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Coupang Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Coupang Inc., often dubbed the "Amazon of South Korea," has emerged as a formidable player in the e-commerce landscape since its founding in 2010. The company's unique selling proposition lies in its commitment to customer satisfaction, exemplified by its "Rocket Delivery" service, which ensures same-day or next-day delivery for millions of products—transforming the online shopping experience. Coupang's innovative logistics capabilities and vast product selection have attracted a loyal customer base, helping it achieve impressive growth rates. As of October 2023, Coupang boasts a market capitalization that reflects its status as a leading e-commerce powerhouse, making it an enticing prospect...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Coupang Inc

Current Assets 8.8B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 5.5B
Receivables 547m
Other Current Assets 2.7B
Non-Current Assets 6.4B
PP&E 4.6B
Intangibles 319m
Other Non-Current Assets 1.5B
Current Liabilities 7.9B
Accounts Payable 5.6B
Accrued Liabilities 943m
Short-Term Debt 336m
Other Current Liabilities 958m
Non-Current Liabilities 3.5B
Long-Term Debt 1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 2.4B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Coupang Inc

Revenue
27.2B USD
Cost of Revenue
-19.9B USD
Gross Profit
7.3B USD
Operating Expenses
-7B USD
Operating Income
310.6m USD
Other Expenses
741.4m USD
Net Income
1.1B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Coupang Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Coupang reported a robust second quarter with a 30% rise in constant currency revenue, excluding Farfetch. The acquisition of Farfetch contributed to a 12% increase in active customers, with existing customers driving most of the growth through higher spending. The company's gross profit surged by over 40% to $2.1 billion, achieving a gross margin of 29.3%. The product commerce segment delivered $430 million in adjusted EBITDA with a record margin of 8.2%. Coupang remains optimistic about Farfetch reaching positive adjusted EBITDA by year-end and continues to see strong potential in the Taiwanese market.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

CPNG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Coupang Inc's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ROE is Increasing
ROIC is Increasing
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Exceptional ROE
47/100
Profitability
Score

Coupang Inc's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CPNG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Coupang Inc's solvency score is 64/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Negative Net Debt
Low D/E
High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
64/100
Solvency
Score

Coupang Inc's solvency score is 64/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CPNG Price Targets Summary
Coupang Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast CPNG stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CPNG is 27.96 USD with a low forecast of 18.18 USD and a high forecast of 34.65 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
18.18 USD
29% Downside
Average
Price Target
27.96 USD
9% Upside
Highest
Price Target
34.65 USD
35% Upside
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Dividends

Coupang Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CPNG is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Ownership

CPNG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
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9 Months
12 Months
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Profile

Coupang Inc Logo
Coupang Inc

Country

Korea

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

46B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Coupang, Inc. engages in the provision of a platform for e-commerce. The company is headquartered in Seoul, Seoul and currently employs 68,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-03-11. The firm mainly provides home goods and decoration, apparel, and beauty products, fresh food and grocery, sporting goods, electronics, restaurant order and delivery, travel and everyday consumables and other products and services. The firm operates e-commerce and logistics system and provides delivery services. In addition, the Company also offers the online advertising space on its websites and mobile applications.

Contact

SEOUL
Seoul
Tower 730,570, Songpa-Daero, Songpa-Gu
+821026878058.0
www.aboutcoupang.com

IPO

2021-03-11

Employees

68 000

Officers

See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one CPNG stock?

The intrinsic value of one CPNG stock under the Base Case scenario is 19.77 USD.

Is CPNG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 25.7 USD, Coupang Inc is Overvalued by 23%.

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