Coupang Inc
NYSE:CPNG
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CPNG stock under the Base Case scenario is 19.77 USD. Compared to the current market price of 25.7 USD, Coupang Inc is Overvalued by 23%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Coupang Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Coupang Inc., often dubbed the "Amazon of South Korea," has emerged as a formidable player in the e-commerce landscape since its founding in 2010. The company's unique selling proposition lies in its commitment to customer satisfaction, exemplified by its "Rocket Delivery" service, which ensures same-day or next-day delivery for millions of products—transforming the online shopping experience. Coupang's innovative logistics capabilities and vast product selection have attracted a loyal customer base, helping it achieve impressive growth rates. As of October 2023, Coupang boasts a market capitalization that reflects its status as a leading e-commerce powerhouse, making it an enticing prospect...
Coupang Inc., often dubbed the "Amazon of South Korea," has emerged as a formidable player in the e-commerce landscape since its founding in 2010. The company's unique selling proposition lies in its commitment to customer satisfaction, exemplified by its "Rocket Delivery" service, which ensures same-day or next-day delivery for millions of products—transforming the online shopping experience. Coupang's innovative logistics capabilities and vast product selection have attracted a loyal customer base, helping it achieve impressive growth rates. As of October 2023, Coupang boasts a market capitalization that reflects its status as a leading e-commerce powerhouse, making it an enticing prospect for investors looking to capitalize on the growing digital retail space in Asia.
However, the journey hasn’t been without challenges. Coupang faces intense competition from local players and global giants eager to tap into the lucrative South Korean market. Despite this, the company's strategic investments in technology and infrastructure have bolstered its market position. Moreover, Coupang's expansion into adjacent areas, such as food delivery and subscriptions, showcases its adaptability and ambition to broaden its revenue streams. For investors, Coupang presents an appealing mix of high growth potential and market leadership in an increasingly digitized world, yet they must remain cognizant of the evolving competitive landscape and regulatory considerations that could impact future performance.
Coupang Inc., often referred to as the "Amazon of South Korea," operates primarily in several core business segments that contribute to its revenue and growth. These segments include:
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E-commerce: This is Coupang's primary business segment, where it offers a vast array of products ranging from electronics and home goods to clothing and groceries. The e-commerce platform is known for its extensive product selection, competitive pricing, and fast delivery options.
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Logistics and Delivery Services: Coupang has made significant investments in its logistics and delivery network, known as "Rocket Delivery." This service promises same-day or next-day delivery for many items, which is a key differentiator in the highly competitive South Korean market. The company operates its own warehousing and last-mile delivery systems, enabling it to maintain control over the delivery experience.
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Coupang Eats: This segment focuses on food delivery services, allowing customers to order meals from local restaurants. Coupang Eats has seen growth, catering to the increasing demand for convenient food delivery options.
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Subscription Services: Coupang offers a subscription service called "Coupang Wow," which provides members with benefits such as free shipping, faster delivery options, and exclusive discounts on various products. This segment enhances customer loyalty and encourages repeat purchases.
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Coupang Play: This is Coupang's video streaming service which offers a range of films, TV shows, and original content. As the digital entertainment landscape grows, this segment aims to leverage the company's existing customer base and provide an additional revenue stream.
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Advertising Services: Coupang has also developed an advertising business where it allows sellers to promote their products directly on the platform. This business segment leverages the company's vast user base and shopping data to generate revenue through targeted advertising strategies.
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Global Expansion Ventures: While primarily focused on the South Korean market, Coupang is exploring opportunities to expand its services and influence beyond South Korea, venturing into international markets and seeking partnerships with global suppliers.
Each of these core business segments plays a vital role in Coupang's overall strategy, aiming to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency while driving growth and profitability in the competitive e-commerce landscape.
Coupang Inc., often referred to as the "Amazon of South Korea," has several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the e-commerce sector. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Rocket Delivery Service: Coupang offers an innovative same-day and next-day delivery service called "Coupang Rocket Delivery." This service meets the demands of consumers wanting quick and reliable delivery, which is less common in many other markets. This logistical capability is a significant barrier to entry for competing firms.
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Robust Logistics Network: Coupang has invested heavily in its logistics infrastructure, including fulfillment centers and a vast network of delivery personnel. This robust supply chain allows for efficient order processing and delivery, providing a level of service that competitors often struggle to match.
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Coupang Play: The company's streaming service, Coupang Play, differentiates it from other e-commerce platforms by incorporating video content with shopping. It allows customers to enjoy exclusive shows and movies, creating a more engaging ecosystem around its platform.
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Customer-Centric Approach: Coupang places a strong emphasis on customer service, which is evident in its flexible return policies and high levels of engagement with users. This approach not only fosters customer loyalty but also enhances the overall shopping experience.
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Data-Driven Personalization: Utilizing advanced algorithms and analytics, Coupang personalizes the shopping experience for users, recommending products based on their preferences and behaviors. This data-driven approach enhances customer satisfaction and can lead to increased sales.
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Broad Product Selection: Coupang offers a vast array of products, from everyday items to specialized goods. Its ability to meet diverse customer needs makes it a one-stop shopping destination, attracting a wide range of consumers.
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Strong Brand Recognition: Coupang has built a robust brand in South Korea through effective marketing strategies and consistent delivery of value. This brand equity helps it retain customers and attract new ones in a competitive marketplace.
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Significant Capital Investment: The company has access to significant capital funding, allowing it to invest in technology and infrastructure to further enhance its service offerings. This financial strength can outpace competitors who may lack similar resources.
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Adaptability and Innovation: Coupang has shown a willingness to innovate and adapt its business model in response to market changes and consumer preferences. This agility can lead to the development of new services and products before competitors can respond.
By leveraging these unique competitive advantages, Coupang is well-positioned to maintain and potentially expand its market share in the fast-growing e-commerce sector in South Korea.
Coupang Inc., often referred to as the "Amazon of South Korea," has experienced significant growth and expansion. However, it faces various risks and challenges that could impact its future performance. Here are some key factors to consider:
1. Increased Competition
- Local Competitors: Companies like Naver, Gmarket, and 11st are strong players in the South Korean e-commerce market, likely ramping up their offerings and promotions to gain market share.
- Global Players: Entrants like Amazon (if they choose to expand aggressively in Korea) could intensify competition, putting pressure on prices and customer loyalty.
2. Regulatory Environment
- E-Commerce Regulations: Changes in government regulations concerning e-commerce operations, consumer protection, and data privacy may impose additional costs or operational changes.
- Labor Laws: As Coupang's operations expand, it might face increased scrutiny regarding labor practices, especially concerning the treatment of warehouse workers and delivery personnel.
3. Profitability Challenges
- High Operating Costs: Coupang's extensive delivery network and commitment to fast shipping result in high operating expenses, which could impact margins, especially during periods of economic downturn.
- Investment in Growth: Continued heavy investment in technology and logistics infrastructure may affect short-term profitability as the company strives for market leadership.
4. Economic Conditions
- Consumer Spending: Fluctuations in consumer spending due to economic slowdowns or inflation could affect sales volumes and profitability.
- Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues can affect product availability and delivery times, potentially impacting customer satisfaction and loyalty.
5. Technological Changes
- Adapting to Change: Rapid technological advancements require continuous investment in IT infrastructure and capabilities. Staying ahead of technological trends is crucial to maintaining a competitive edge.
- Cybersecurity Risks: As an e-commerce platform, Coupang is vulnerable to cyberattacks, which could compromise customer data and harm its reputation.
6. Market Saturation
- Mature Market: As the South Korean e-commerce market matures, growth rates may slow, making it more difficult to sustain high growth levels. The company may need to explore international expansion to drive new growth.
7. Consumer Preferences
- Changing Demands: Evolving consumer preferences, such as increasing demand for sustainable and ethically sourced products, may require Coupang to rethink its offerings and supply chain practices.
8. Global Expansion Risks
- International Ventures: Expanding into other markets carries risks, including cultural differences, local competition, and unique regulatory challenges that could impact performance and profitability.
Conclusion
Coupang has a robust business model with a strong brand presence, but it must navigate a complex landscape of competition, regulatory changes, economic conditions, and consumer expectations to sustain its growth and profitability. Continuous monitoring and strategic adjustments will be vital as the company faces these near-future challenges.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Coupang Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Coupang Inc
Current Assets | 8.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 5.5B |
Receivables | 547m |
Other Current Assets | 2.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 6.4B |
PP&E | 4.6B |
Intangibles | 319m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.5B |
Current Liabilities | 7.9B |
Accounts Payable | 5.6B |
Accrued Liabilities | 943m |
Short-Term Debt | 336m |
Other Current Liabilities | 958m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 3.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Coupang Inc
Revenue
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27.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-19.9B
USD
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Gross Profit
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7.3B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-7B
USD
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Operating Income
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310.6m
USD
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Other Expenses
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741.4m
USD
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Net Income
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1.1B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Coupang Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Coupang reported a robust second quarter with a 30% rise in constant currency revenue, excluding Farfetch. The acquisition of Farfetch contributed to a 12% increase in active customers, with existing customers driving most of the growth through higher spending. The company's gross profit surged by over 40% to $2.1 billion, achieving a gross margin of 29.3%. The product commerce segment delivered $430 million in adjusted EBITDA with a record margin of 8.2%. Coupang remains optimistic about Farfetch reaching positive adjusted EBITDA by year-end and continues to see strong potential in the Taiwanese market.
What is Earnings Call?
CPNG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Coupang Inc's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Coupang Inc's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CPNG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Coupang Inc's solvency score is 64/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Coupang Inc's solvency score is 64/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CPNG Price Targets Summary
Coupang Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CPNG is 27.96 USD with a low forecast of 18.18 USD and a high forecast of 34.65 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CPNG is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
CPNG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Coupang, Inc. engages in the provision of a platform for e-commerce. The company is headquartered in Seoul, Seoul and currently employs 68,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-03-11. The firm mainly provides home goods and decoration, apparel, and beauty products, fresh food and grocery, sporting goods, electronics, restaurant order and delivery, travel and everyday consumables and other products and services. The firm operates e-commerce and logistics system and provides delivery services. In addition, the Company also offers the online advertising space on its websites and mobile applications.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one CPNG stock under the Base Case scenario is 19.77 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 25.7 USD, Coupang Inc is Overvalued by 23%.