TSLA Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Tesla Inc - Alpha Spread

Tesla Inc
NASDAQ:TSLA

Watchlist Manager
Tesla Inc Logo
Tesla Inc
NASDAQ:TSLA
Watchlist
Price: 217.8 USD -8.78% Market Closed
Market Cap: 695.8B USD
Have any thoughts about
Tesla Inc?
Write Note

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one TSLA stock under the Base Case scenario is 61.72 USD. Compared to the current market price of 217.8 USD, Tesla Inc is Overvalued by 72%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

TSLA Intrinsic Value
61.72 USD
Overvaluation 72%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Tesla Inc

Backtest Intrinsic Value
Dive into the past to invest in the future

Uncover deeper insights with the Valuation Backtest. Learn how current stock valuations stack up against historical averages to gauge true investment potential.

Start backtest now and learn if your stock is truly undervalued or overvalued!

Run Backtest
Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

Backtest Example
Register to View Results
Register to View Results

To access the results of this valuation backtest, please register an account with us. Registration is quick and gives you instant access to insights on 3 stocks per week for free.

Backtest Unavailable

The backtest for TSLA cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints. Please select a different stock or adjust your settings.

Backtest In Progress...
Backtest In Progress...
How do you feel about TSLA?
Bearish
Neutral
Bullish

Fundamental Analysis

Summary

 

 

 

 

View All Risks & Rewards
Company Quality
No Indicators Selected
Select Indicators

Select up to 3 indicators:

Insider Trading
0-3
Months
0-6
Months
0-12
Months
0-36
Months
No Periods Selected
Select Periods

Select up to 2 periods:

AI Assistant
AI Assistant
Ask me anything about Tesla Inc

Provide an overview of the primary business activities
of Tesla Inc.

What unique competitive advantages
does Tesla Inc hold over its rivals?

What risks and challenges
does Tesla Inc face in the near future?

Has there been any significant insider trading activity
in Tesla Inc recently?

Summarize the latest earnings call
of Tesla Inc.

What significant events have occurred
in Tesla Inc over the past months?

Is it considered overvalued or undervalued
based on the latest financial data?

Show all valuation multiples
for Tesla Inc.

Provide P/S
for Tesla Inc.

Provide P/E
for Tesla Inc.

Provide P/OCF
for Tesla Inc.

Provide P/FCFE
for Tesla Inc.

Provide P/B
for Tesla Inc.

Provide EV/S
for Tesla Inc.

Provide EV/GP
for Tesla Inc.

Provide EV/EBITDA
for Tesla Inc.

Provide EV/EBIT
for Tesla Inc.

Provide EV/OCF
for Tesla Inc.

Provide EV/FCFF
for Tesla Inc.

Provide EV/IC
for Tesla Inc.

Show me price targets
for Tesla Inc made by professional analysts.

What are the Revenue projections
for Tesla Inc?

How accurate were the past Revenue estimates
for Tesla Inc?

What are the Net Income projections
for Tesla Inc?

How accurate were the past Net Income estimates
for Tesla Inc?

What are the EPS projections
for Tesla Inc?

How accurate were the past EPS estimates
for Tesla Inc?

What are the EBIT projections
for Tesla Inc?

How accurate were the past EBIT estimates
for Tesla Inc?

Compare the revenue forecasts
for Tesla Inc with those of its competitors based on recent analyst estimates.

Compare the intrinsic valuations
of Tesla Inc and its key competitors using the latest financial data.

Compare historical revenue growth rates
of Tesla Inc against its competitors.

Analyze the profit margins
(gross, operating, and net) of Tesla Inc compared to its peers.

Compare the P/E ratios
of Tesla Inc against its peers.

Discuss the investment returns and shareholder value creation
comparing Tesla Inc with its peers.

Analyze the financial leverage
of Tesla Inc compared to its main competitors.

Show all profitability ratios
for Tesla Inc.

Provide ROE
for Tesla Inc.

Provide ROA
for Tesla Inc.

Provide ROIC
for Tesla Inc.

Provide ROCE
for Tesla Inc.

Provide Gross Margin
for Tesla Inc.

Provide Operating Margin
for Tesla Inc.

Provide Net Margin
for Tesla Inc.

Provide FCF Margin
for Tesla Inc.

Show all solvency ratios
for Tesla Inc.

Provide D/E Ratio
for Tesla Inc.

Provide D/A Ratio
for Tesla Inc.

Provide Interest Coverage Ratio
for Tesla Inc.

Provide Altman Z-Score Ratio
for Tesla Inc.

Provide Quick Ratio
for Tesla Inc.

Provide Current Ratio
for Tesla Inc.

Provide Cash Ratio
for Tesla Inc.

What is the historical Revenue growth
over the last 5 years for Tesla Inc?

What is the historical Net Income growth
over the last 5 years for Tesla Inc?

What is the current Free Cash Flow
of Tesla Inc?

Discuss the annual earnings per share (EPS)
trend over the past five years for Tesla Inc.

Business Breakdown

Tesla Inc., founded in 2003, has rapidly evolved from a niche electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer into a global leader in sustainable energy solutions, driven by its powerful vision to accelerate the world’s transition to renewable energy. Spearheaded by CEO Elon Musk, Tesla aims to revolutionize the automotive industry through innovative technologies, including cutting-edge battery designs and advanced autonomous driving systems. The company’s flagship products, the Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y, cater to varied consumer needs, combining performance, safety, and sustainability. With ambitious production goals and a growing global presence, Tesla is not just selling cars; it is resha...

Read More
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Tesla Inc

Current Assets 53B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 30.7B
Receivables 3.9B
Other Current Assets 18.3B
Non-Current Assets 59.9B
PP&E 48.1B
Intangibles 597m
Other Non-Current Assets 11.2B
Current Liabilities 27.7B
Accounts Payable 13.1B
Accrued Liabilities 6.5B
Other Current Liabilities 8.1B
Non-Current Liabilities 18.6B
Long-Term Debt 5.5B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 13.2B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Tesla Inc

Revenue
95.3B USD
Cost of Revenue
-78.4B USD
Gross Profit
16.9B USD
Operating Expenses
-9.7B USD
Operating Income
7.2B USD
Other Expenses
5.2B USD
Net Income
12.4B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Tesla Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Tesla has reported record quarterly revenues and significant profits in its energy business, driven by all-time high energy storage deployments. Despite intense market competition and discounted prices from rivals, Tesla remains confident in the long-term growth of electric vehicles. Key developments include advancements in full self-driving technology, with a significant update, version 12.5, rolling out. Tesla maintains its commitment to cost control and efficiency, continuing to offer competitive financing options and aiming to deliver a more affordable vehicle model by the first half of next year. Additionally, the company is investing in AI and autonomous humanoid robots, anticipating substantial future impacts.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

TSLA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Tesla Inc's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive 3-Year Average ROIC
Positive Free Cash Flow
63/100
Profitability
Score

Tesla Inc's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

TSLA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Tesla Inc's solvency score is 78/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Negative Net Debt
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
78/100
Solvency
Score

Tesla Inc's solvency score is 78/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

TSLA Price Targets Summary
Tesla Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TSLA is 214.68 USD with a low forecast of 25.11 USD and a high forecast of 325.5 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
25.11 USD
88% Downside
Average
Price Target
214.68 USD
1% Downside
Highest
Price Target
325.5 USD
49% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates
Want to learn more about Wall St estimates for TSLA?

Click here to dive deeper.

Dividends

Tesla Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for TSLA is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Ownership

TSLA Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

TSLA News

Other Videos

Profile

Tesla Inc Logo
Tesla Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Automobiles

Market Cap

695.7B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems. The company is headquartered in Austin, Texas and currently employs 99,290 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2010-06-09. The firm's automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales, and leasing of electric vehicles as well as sales of automotive regulatory credits. Additionally, the automotive segment is also comprised of services and other, which includes non-warranty after-sales vehicle services, sales of used vehicles, retail merchandise, sales by its acquired subsidiaries to third party customers, and vehicle insurance. Its energy generation and storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its automotive products include Model 3, Model Y, Model S and Model X. Powerwall and Megapack are its lithium-ion battery energy storage products.

Contact

TEXAS
Austin
13101 Harold Green Road
+16506815000.0
www.tesla.com

IPO

2010-06-09

Employees

99 290

Officers

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one TSLA stock?

The intrinsic value of one TSLA stock under the Base Case scenario is 61.72 USD.

Is TSLA stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 217.8 USD, Tesla Inc is Overvalued by 72%.

Back to Top