Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG

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Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Logo
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
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Price: 50.08 USD 0.7% Market Closed
Market Cap: 67.5B USD

Relative Value

The Relative Value of one CMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 40.28 USD. Compared to the current market price of 50.08 USD, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is Overvalued by 20%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

CMG Relative Value
Base Case
40.28 USD
Overvaluation 20%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
58
vs Industry
12
Median 3Y
6.1
Median 5Y
6.3
Industry
1.4
Forward
5.5
vs History
96
vs Industry
13
Median 3Y
52.5
Median 5Y
57.3
Industry
19.3
Forward
40.9
vs History
77
vs Industry
8
Median 3Y
34.5
Median 5Y
38.3
Industry
9.8
vs History
88
vs Industry
14
Median 3Y
50.5
Median 5Y
56.7
Industry
18.2
vs History
65
vs Industry
2
Median 3Y
20.1
Median 5Y
20
Industry
2.1
vs History
58
vs Industry
14
Median 3Y
6
Median 5Y
6.2
Industry
1.9
Forward
5.4
vs History
74
vs Industry
9
Median 3Y
18.9
Median 5Y
20.3
Industry
3.8
vs History
90
vs Industry
9
Median 3Y
33.5
Median 5Y
35.8
Industry
10.8
Forward
26.7
vs History
95
vs Industry
13
Median 3Y
40.1
Median 5Y
45.1
Industry
16.8
Forward
31.4
vs History
77
vs Industry
12
Median 3Y
33.8
Median 5Y
37.5
Industry
12.2
vs History
87
vs Industry
14
Median 3Y
49.4
Median 5Y
55.7
Industry
17.7
vs History
41
vs Industry
4
Median 3Y
9.2
Median 5Y
8.4
Industry
1.3

Multiples Across Competitors

CMG Competitors Multiples
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Competitors

Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
US
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
67.6B USD 5.9 43.3 28.5 33.4
JP
KFC Holdings Japan Ltd
TSE:9873
71.2T JPY 646.8 17 134.6 9 261.3 13 492.6
US
McDonald's Corp
NYSE:MCD
224.5B USD 8.7 27.5 19 22.4
US
Starbucks Corp
NASDAQ:SBUX
95.4B USD 2.6 30.5 17.4 24
UK
Compass Group PLC
LSE:CPG
44.2B GBP 1 30.2 14.3 18.6
US
Yum! Brands Inc
NYSE:YUM
40B USD 5.2 28.1 19 20.4
CA
Restaurant Brands International Inc
NYSE:QSR
32.5B USD 3.7 34.2 17.5 19.6
CN
MIXUE Group
HKEX:2097
218.3B HKD 0 0 0 0
IN
Eternal Ltd
NSE:ETERNAL
2.2T INR 10.7 410.3 328.4 -925.7
US
Darden Restaurants Inc
NYSE:DRI
25.1B USD 2.1 23.8 14.4 19.6
CN
Yum China Holdings Inc
NYSE:YUMC
16.4B USD 1.4 17.9 8.6 11.8
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
US
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
Average EV/EBITDA: 972.8
28.5
13%
2.2
JP
KFC Holdings Japan Ltd
TSE:9873
9 261.3
N/A N/A
US
McDonald's Corp
NYSE:MCD
19
6%
3.2
US
Starbucks Corp
NASDAQ:SBUX
17.4
5%
3.5
UK
Compass Group PLC
LSE:CPG
14.3
16%
0.9
US
Yum! Brands Inc
NYSE:YUM
19
8%
2.4
CA
Restaurant Brands International Inc
NYSE:QSR
17.5
9%
1.9
CN
M
MIXUE Group
HKEX:2097
Not Available
18%
N/A
IN
Eternal Ltd
NSE:ETERNAL
328.4
105%
3.1
US
Darden Restaurants Inc
NYSE:DRI
14.4
9%
1.6
CN
Yum China Holdings Inc
NYSE:YUMC
8.6
10%
0.9
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
US
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
Average EV/EBIT: 1 518.1
33.4
14%
2.4
JP
KFC Holdings Japan Ltd
TSE:9873
13 492.6
N/A N/A
US
McDonald's Corp
NYSE:MCD
22.4
7%
3.2
US
Starbucks Corp
NASDAQ:SBUX
24
5%
4.8
UK
Compass Group PLC
LSE:CPG
18.6
13%
1.4
US
Yum! Brands Inc
NYSE:YUM
20.4
8%
2.5
CA
Restaurant Brands International Inc
NYSE:QSR
19.6
8%
2.5
CN
M
MIXUE Group
HKEX:2097
Not Available
17%
N/A
IN
Eternal Ltd
NSE:ETERNAL
Negative Multiple: -925.7 N/A N/A
US
Darden Restaurants Inc
NYSE:DRI
19.6
8%
2.5
CN
Yum China Holdings Inc
NYSE:YUMC
11.8
10%
1.2